Pick Padres -120 vs. Rockies in Sunday MLB Odds

Willie Bee

Sunday, September 7, 2014 2:32 PM UTC

Sunday, Sep. 7, 2014 2:32 PM UTC

The Rockies take aim at a sweep of the Padres Sunday afternoon at Coors Field, but the MLB odds suggest that San Diego will avoid Colorado's brooms.

Before you assume teams like the San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies have nothing to play for since they're out of the postseason picture, think again.

Colorado, for example, has plenty to play for right now as the Rockies go for a sweep of the Padres. Not only would a win complete the broom job, it would also give the Rocks their first 4-game win streak in nearly three months and might also lift them out of the basement in the National League.

They'll have to do it as underdogs in the 4:10 PM (ET) matinee at Coors Field. Tyson Ross will be on the hill for San Diego as -120 chalk according to SBR's live MLB odds. Colorado counters with lefthander Franklin Morales, and baseball bettors have both 9 and 9.5 run totals to consider.

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Teams Need 12 Innings, 18 Pitchers To Finish Saturday's Tilt
September has so far been kind to the Rockies who have already guaranteed themselves a second consecutive series win after the first two games in this set. Rookie Tyler Matzek tossed a 3-hitter Friday for the first complete game shutout of his young career, home runs by Drew Stubbs and Nolan Arenado providing the offense in Colorado's 3-0 victory.

It was a good thing Matzek went the distance on Friday, because manager Walt Weiss needed his entire bullpen in Saturday's 7-6 triumph that lasted 12 innings. The Rockies used 10 pitchers and San Diego eight in contest that lasted nearly five hours, the final going well past a 9.5 run total to stop a 4-game run for the 'under' between these two clubs at Coors.

The two wins have given Colorado an 8-7 edge over the Padres in the season series; they'll complete their 2014 schedule against one another in San Diego during the season's final week, the Rockies winning each of the previous two sets at Petco Park, two games to one.


Can Morales Beat Pads For A 3rd Time?
Tyson Ross just might be the most underrated pitcher -- starter or reliever -- in the game today.  The former Cal Bear has obviously been helped by making 15 of his previous 29 starts at friendly Petco Park where he has fashioned a 1.88 ERA in more than 100 innings, but Ross has still been very effective on the road (3.44 ERA). The trouble away from San Diego has been offensive support, the Pads 5-9 in those games and plating two runs or fewer half of the time.

The 6-6 righty has done a pretty good job on the hill in Denver, but again Ross hasn't gotten much help from his lineup. Two starts and two relief appearances on the mound have yielded three losses despite a 3.37 ERA.

Franklin Morales has moved between the bullpen and rotation this year for Colorado, and been inconsistent in both roles. The lefty has been knocked around in his last two home starts, surrendering 13 runs in just over eight innings to the Marlins and Giants along the way. The Rockies bailed him out Labor Day, rallying from a 7-2 hole for a 10-9 walk-off victory, but Morales has been brilliant facing San Diego in 2014, winning both starts while allowing only two runs in nearly 12 innings.


Umpire Notes, Final Thoughts & A Free Pick
We have a good handle on how the Padres and Rockies should perform in the game, but one never can be too sure of the umpiring when CB Bucknor is calling balls and strikes. Bucknor's wildly inconsistent strike zone has produced a fairly level 12-12-1 (O/U/P) record so far, visiting teams winning 15 of his 26 plate assignments (4-2 as chalk).

There will be a few clouds in the Denver sky today, but otherwise excellent conditions with a game-time temp in the low-80s and light NE breeze (in from right). I believe the price is right on Ross and San Diego; play the visitors at -120 as your MLB pick for this game.
Free MLB Pick: Padres -120
Season: 113-114 (-1.65)

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