Pick 'Over' 7 Runs in Tuesday's Phillies vs. Mets

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, July 29, 2014 1:52 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 29, 2014 1:52 PM UTC

Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Ryan Howard lands in a favorable situation Tuesday, which will lead to a high-scoring affair against the New York Mets at Citi Field. Find out why we are looking at the total with our MLB picks for tonight's matchup.

Time to drop the hammer
Philadelphia has alternated wins and losses in its last four games, as it attempts to bounce back from a 7-1 setback to New York as +126 road underdogs Monday, while going OVER the betting total for the third time in that span.

The Phillies have a major opportunity to score some runs in this matchup, considering Howard is 9 for 18 in his career against tonight’s opposing starter, which is one of the main reasons that I feel the number is short on the MLB odds page.

Sports bettors are going to have a hard time backing the Phillies until Thursday’s non-waiver Trade Deadline passes, especially since they’ve compiled a 21-24 record on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 the last two-plus seasons.


New York is 14-7 in its last 21 contests, as it attempts to capture five straight home games for the first time since 2010, with the pitching staff ranking third in the National League with a 3.15 ERA this month.

The Mets are capable of breaking out offensively in this affair, considering third baseman David Wright has hit .329 with five home runs and 16 RBIs in his career against Tuesday’s opposing starter, while second baseman David Murphy checks in with a .386 average in that situation.

It’s important to point out that the club is 11-11 versus southpaws, but the OVER is 12-6-4 in those 22 opportunities.


Phillies starting pitcher Cole Hamels (5-5, 2.72 ERA) is riding a personal three-game win streak, which includes a 2-1 home victory over the San Francisco Giants last time out, as he gave up a single run and six hits over eight innings of work.

The left-hander is 3-3 with a 1.93 ERA in nine road appearances—serving up just a single home run in 60.2 combined frames.

In 29 lifetime starts versus the Mets, Hamels has tallied a 7-14 record and 4.38 ERA, including a 4-5 mark and 3.96 ERA in 14 efforts at this venue.


Mets starting pitcher Dillon Gee (4-3, 3.49 ERA) has struggled to find consistency on the mound since coming back from the disabled list, as he’s produced a 1-2 record and 5.82 ERA in three outings.

The right-hander has been dealing with shoulder issues for much of the season, which is important to consider when making your MLB betting predictions, especially since he’s 3-3 with a 7.15 ERA in 11 career games (10 starts) versus the Phillies.

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I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB picks, as the OVER is 8-1 in Gee’s last nine efforts in this rivalry.

Free MLB Pick:  Over 7

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