Pick Orioles Over Pine-Tar Pineda & Yankees

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, August 13, 2014 1:55 PM GMT

 All eyes will be on Pineda as the starting pitcher for the Yankees, but is NY the favorable betting play? Find out here as we inspect the odds for their match against the Baltimore Orioles.

After an 11-3 beating at the hands of the Baltimore Orioles (68-50) on Monday, the New York Yankees (61-57) are now 7 games behind the O’s for the division title. Tonight, we will see “a repeat of the cheat” as Michael Pineda gets the start for New York.

First pitch is set for 7:10 pm ET at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. This game can be seen on ESPN and the YES Network.

According to 5 Dimes Sportsbook, the Orioles are a -127 betting favorite with the total listed at 8 runs.

Will Michael Pineda try to trick the umpires and the Orioles tonight?

 

What Was He Thinking?
In the beginning of the 2014 MLB season, Michael Pineda was pitching quite well. Unfortunately for him, the television camera zoomed onto the back of his neck and the public realized that he had been pitching with some type of foreign substance.

He eventually won that game with ease, but the next game he was called out on the issue. Let’s just say, Michael Pineda won’t be using any illegal substances that can be seen to the naked eye or Baltimore manager Buck Showalter will be all over the issue.

With all of that said, Pineda pitched 3 quality starts out in his first 3 outings in April and if he pitches anywhere near that level, the Yankees will be a threat in this ball game.

 

Multi-Faceted Offense
Baltimore comes into this game with a lot of confidence. The first half of their batting order is really starting to gel like they did last season. Although Chris Davis is the one major disappointment on this team after winning the American League home run crown last season, he’s finally starting to be the “Crush” of old and is almost at the Mendoza Line. Luckily for the Orioles, they’re a very deep team that doesn’t need one player like Davis to win a ball game. They can hurt the opposing team in many different ways.

Manny Machado, who had a propensity for hitting doubles last season, will be out of action due to a knee ligament sprain and look for the combination of Adam Jones and Nelson Cruz to be significant factors in this game.

Both Adam Jones (22 HR, 72 RBI, .288 BA ) and Nelson Cruz (31 HR, 83 RBI, .263 BA) have been the backbone of the Orioles ball club. Leadoff man, Nick Markakais, has also picked up some of the slack along the way withvery respectable numbers, leading the O’s with a .293 batting average and a decent amount of power for a leadoff hitter.

 

Chris Tillman
When watching Chris Tillman (9-5, 3.73), you get a good appreciation for his game and against an inconsistent Yankees lineup, this is a favorable matchup for Tillman. The split stats sure look good for the right-hander out of Anaheim, California.

Tillman is pitching a 2.77 ERA at home this season, he’s also pitching a 2.96 ERA against the American League this season. Top it off with the fact that he’s pitched 13 2/3 innings against the Yankees and  has a 1.98 ERA and the bettor has to think that this strongly favors the home team.

 

The .278 Club
Both Brett Gardner and Jacoby Ellsbury are both hitting .278 this season and are the key players for New York in this game with their great deal of speed. Gardner hasn’t been looking to steal as often, but has made up for it with hitting the long ball as the leadoff hitter. Ellsbury has been super-streaky, but when he gets in the zone, he’s the toughest out on the team. He can also change the complexion of a game by getting on base.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":286404, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Outcome
Baltimore is the team with momentum and they are the only pick in this game at favorable betting odds. You simply don’t know what you’re going to get out of Pineda and until he proves otherwise, I’m picking the O’s as one of my MLB picks today.

Free MLB Pick: Baltimore -127 at 5 Dimes