Pick Marlins as Underdogs vs. Braves in MLB Odds

Willie Bee

Sunday, August 31, 2014 2:57 PM UTC

Sunday, Aug. 31, 2014 2:57 PM UTC

The Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins wrap up their 3-game MLB odds series in Atlanta on Sunday, and our handicapper has his eyes set on the underdog for the finale at Turner Field.

Miami Marlins continue to be the proverbial fly in the ointment as far as the Atlanta Braves are concerned. The Marlins can muck up the works even more on Sunday when the clubs converge in the rubber game of their weekend set.

Alex Wood will deliver the game's first pitch at 5:10 PM (ET), and a quick glance at the baseball betting board shows Wood and the Braves are priced as -160 favorites. Nathan Eovaldi opposes Wood on the hill with a 7 run total showing up on SBR's live MLB odds.

Both teams are fighting for their playoff lives as August draws to a close. Atlanta has fallen to fourth in the National League Wild Card race, 1.5 games back of St. Louis for the second runner-up slot in the postseason. Miami is 4 games behind the Braves.

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Under The Way To Go In Atlanta
Justin Upton fueled Atlanta's 5-2 victory in Friday's opener. Upton homered and drove in three runs to lead the Braves lineup while Ervin Santana and three relievers handled the mound chores to help bettors who were laying -170 chalk.

Jared Cosart and Donovan Solano starred Saturday for Miami to even the set. Cosart tossed the first seven frames of the Marlins' 4-0 triumph, their fourth consecutive win with the righthander on the hill, this time as +125 underdogs. Solano homered in the first inning to give the Fish all the runs they would need.

Saturday's dubya pushed the Marlins out to an 8-7 lead in the season series, and 5-4 edge at Turner Field. Those folks riding the low side of the totals in Atlanta are the real winners so far as scoreboard wagers have run 1-6-2 O/U/P on this diamond. The teams finish off their season series next weekend with a 3-game set in Miami.


Wood In Search Of Win No. 10
Nathan Eovaldi will be trying to end August by stopping a 3-game skid that has left the Marlins 10-17 in his starts (-7.6 units). Six of those Miami wins came in his first 11 assignments of 2014, but the squad has gone 3-12 in his matchups since. Four clashes with the Braves have yielded just one win for the Marlins despite Eovaldi posting a fine 2.08 ERA in 28 innings of work.

Alex Wood has done a fairly good job his last two times out, but didn't get much support in a pair of 3-2 Atlanta losses on the road against the Pirates and Mets. The former Georgia standout has had good success at home recently, however, with the Braves winning four of his last six trips to the Turner Field mound.

Sunday will be Wood's third start vs. Miami in 2014, along with one relief appearance, and the two assignments were a mixed bag. The Marlins cracked on him in Florida, reaching Wood for seven runs and 10 hits in five innings. That effort came just a week after Wood dropped a 1-0 decision in Atlanta to Jose Fernandez and the Fish.


Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
Tripp Gibson is in line to wrap up this series behind the plate for the umpire crew. The Kentucky native is finishing up his first full season at the major league level, and has been extremely streaky in building a 12-16-1 (O/U/P) totals record. Gibson's last four games calling balls and strikes, and five of his last six, have gone well past the scoreboard mark after a string of six straight never made it to the totals.

A hot, muggy day is in the ATL forecast, which should offer Braves fans a perfect excuse to not attend the game. For the crowd that will fill up about half of Turner Field, first pitch should find the thermometer in the low-90s with a 7-10 mph breeze from the WSW (out to right-center).

Eovaldi hasn't had much luck against the Braves this season, but I'm looking for that to change Sunday against Atlanta. My free pick is on the underdogs in this one.
MLB Free pick: As conclusion, we will recommend you make the Marlins +150 your MLB Pick on this event.
Season: 109-113 (-4.85)

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