Pick Marlins +143 vs. Dodgers: Haren with Pitching Edge in LA

Charles Stark

Tuesday, May 12, 2015 12:15 PM GMT

Tuesday, May. 12, 2015 12:15 PM GMT

After losing a couple games in a row, the Miami Marlins have earned a spot on my MLB betting ticket as they will upset the Los Angeles Dodgers today in L.A.

The Line and Pitchers
It is understandable that the Dodgers are the favorite in this matchup but we are getting good value on a decent Marlins team with the better pitcher on the mound.  MLB odds makers have come out making the Dodgers a solid -135 favorite with Miami at around +120.  At only -135 it seems the game is a no brainer to back L.A. but I like the Marlins to bounce back from their loss yesterday in this spot.  Yesterday the Marlins outhit the Dodgers but left seven runners on base and blew the game in the bottom of the ninth.  Today Dan Haren gets the call for the Marlins and Mike Bolsinger will take the mound for the Dodgers.

On the year Haren has been tough coming in with a 2.68 ERA and a WHIP under 1.00, batters are also hitting under .200 against him so far this season.  He is very familiar pitching in Dodger Stadium so he should come out with a good performance against a good hitting team.  Mike Bolsinger comes in with only one start against the Giants in which he pitched well.  Career wise in just 58 innings pitched he has an ERA over 5.00, a WHIP of 1.55, and batters are hitting over .300 against him.

 

Offenses
The advantage here goes to the Dodgers.  In the last three games though their hits, total bases, and batting average all rank in the bottom part of the league.  The Marlins have spent most of their season in mediocrity ranking around the middle of the league in most major league stats.

Haren should have a nice start, and if the bullpen doesn’t blow it I anticipate Miami to go ahead and win this game two of their three game set.  To me there is great value on  MLB picks placed on the plus money line today.

MLB Picks: Marlins +143 at The Greek

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