Pick Iwakuma & Mariners Over Twins Monday Night

Jeff Grant

Monday, July 7, 2014 1:12 PM GMT

Hisashi Iwakuma has truly dominated the Minnesota Twins over his brief career, which provides the Seattle Mariners a huge advantage in Monday night’s series opener at Safeco Field.

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting lines for this American League matchup, with the first pitch scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET.


Giving it up on the mound
Minnesota has dropped 10 of its last 13 games due to the starting rotation compiling a 7.43 ERA over that span, as it looks to bounce back from a 9-7 defeat to the New York Yankees as +117 home underdogs Sunday, while going OVER the betting total for the third time in four affairs. 

The Twins did manage to take two of three home games against the Mariners in May, but were outscored by a 13-11 combined margin in that series.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is a forgettable 74-133 versus teams with a winning record.


Staring anew
Seattle returns home after taking four of six games on the road, but it did drop a 1-0 decision to the Chicago White Sox as -131 favorites yesterday afternoon, while going UNDER the betting total for the second consecutive contest. 

The Mariners have been known to hit the reset button in starting a new week, as they’ve compiled a dominating 10-1 record when playing on Monday this year. 

MLB handicappers will also find that the squad is 7-1 as home favorites of -175 to -225 since the start of the 2012 campaign.


Correia
Twins starting pitcher Kevin Correia (4-10, 4.95 ERA) has dropped three of his last four trips to the mound, including a 4-0 setback at home to the Kansas City Royals last time out, as he surrendered two runs and six hits over six frames. 

The right-hander is 2-4 with a 3.69 ERA in eight road efforts, with opposing hitters batting .289 against him (.305 at home). 

In five lifetime appearances (four starts) versus the Mariners, Correia has compiled a 0-2 record and 6.65 ERA.


Iwakuma
Mariners starting pitcher Hisashi Iwakuma (6-4, 3.33 ERA) has led the club to wins in three of his last four outings, including a 13-2  road victory over the Houston Astros last Tuesday—allowing a single run and seven hits over six frames. 

The right-hander is 2-4 with a 3.35 ERA in seven home appearances, as he’s issued just five walks and struck out 37 batters in 48.1 combined innings. 

Iwakuma has tossed 26.2 scoreless innings in four career starts versus the Twins, which has resulted in a perfect 4-0 record.


Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Mariners as one of their MLB picks, as they’ve proven victorious in seven of their last nine home games in this series. 

Free Pick:  Seattle Mariners 

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