Pick Gio Gonzalez & Nationals To Own The Indians One More Time For Today's MLB Action

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, August 10, 2016 3:18 PM UTC

Wednesday, Aug. 10, 2016 3:18 PM UTC

Division leaders collide again in the final leg of this two-game set as the Indians go for a sweep of the Nationals. Let’s examine the matchup in this one with an eye towards cashing in our MLB picks.

Cleveland Indians vs Washington Nationals 
There was a time not long ago when my MLB picks could do no wrong and now I can do no right. Still, up over 20 units, my previously magical season has been bogged down with bad beats, bad calls, and poor decisions. Yesterday, I reviewed the MLB odds and believed I got the Mets at a decent number over the struggling Diamondbacks. The number may have been favorable, as I locked the Mets in at -123 (they spiked to as high as -135 at game time), but the results were far from ideal. When the dust cleared, the D-Backs claimed a 5-3 decision and we lost yet again.

We have all gone through it, right? We don’t like to admit it and if you are not writing a column on an almost daily basis, nobody knows just how bad you’re going except you. Unfortunately, I have no such quarter as my losing streak is there for the entire world to see…and snicker. There’s nothing else to do except plug away and try to keep this luxury liner from morphing into a dinghy. Here we go.


Tribe Looks to Tomlin for the Sweep
The Indians have been struggling of late but made all those dog lovers smile broadly as the visitors were installed as +165 road dogs and came away with a 3-1 win over the Nationals in yesterday’s action. Starting pitcher Trevor Bauer was the latest member of Cleveland’s rotation to spin a gem as he worked six plus innings of shutout ball to contribute mightily to the victory.

This afternoon Josh Tomlin (11-4, 3.81, 1.16) will get the start and hopes to rebound after the Yankees torched him in his last appearance. The 31-year-old righty surrendered seven runs and 10 hits in the 13-7 loss and has now lost three of his last five starts after beginning the year with a 9-1 record. Tomlin has not faced the Nationals in his six-year career.


Betting Analysis
The Nats will counter with a rejuvenated Gio Gonzalez (7-9, 4.13, 1.31) who started the season poorly but has been a different pitcher as of late. Over his last five starts, Gonzalez has been locked on as evidenced by his 3-1 record and a sizzling 2.03 ERA. In his last outing, he dazzled against the San Francisco Giants, allowing one run on only a pair of hits in seven full innings of work, en route to a 5-1 victory.

Coincidentally or not, the sputtering Indians found life against the Nationals yesterday with bench coach Brad Mills, in place of the ailing Terry Francona, at the helm. Francona should be back for today’s game after experiencing discomfort yesterday. Perhaps Mills brought a different perspective and vibe to the Indians’ clubhouse but that will not be the case today as the regular manager returns.

The bottom line here is what should be a pitching mismatch. Gio Gonzalez has been a beast lately and has historically owned the Indians with a 5-0 record and an ERA of 1.07 and a WHIP of 1.145. His team's record is 6-2 (+4.8 units) in these starts and I don’t see anything changing tonight, except another W on his record. The Tribe is 12-4 in Gonzalez’s last 16 home starts and the Nats are simply the better team, with the better pitcher and in a venue where they are 33-22 on the season.


Free MLB Pick: Nationals -123 
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle 
Swinger’s MLB Record: 59-37, +20.06 units

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