Pick Giants as Underdogs & Bet Over Total Runs in Milwaukee

Darin Zank

Monday, May 25, 2015 1:25 PM UTC

Monday, May. 25, 2015 1:25 PM UTC

After getting crushed in Colorado, the MLB odds makers set the Giants as underdogs against the Brewers. We play the Money Line and the Run Total odds for this first of three games at Miller Park.

The Betting
In early action Milwaukee and Kyle Lohse were favored by around -125 in MLB odds over San Francisco and Tim Lincecum, with a total of eight runs.


The Situation
San Francisco (25-20) just had an eight-game winning streak broken by a 5-3 loss at Colorado Saturday, then lost Sunday 11-2. Still, the Giants are 16-7 this month, and haven't lost a series since dropping two of three to the Dodgers eight series ago.

Big-picture, Frisco trails first-place Los Angeles by two games in the NL West, and leads the National League wild-card race.

Milwaukee (16-29), meanwhile, started 7-18 this season under old manager Ron Roenicke; it's now 9-11 under new manager Craig Counsell, after dropping three of four games over the weekend in Atlanta. The Brewers are also a ML-worst 8-15 at home this season.

On the personnel front San Francisco recently got OF Hunter Pence back, after he missed the start of this season with a broken arm. Milwaukee, on the other hand, is still playing without both C Jonathan Lucroy and SS Jean Segura, and that's not helping the cause any.


Recent History
This is the first meeting between these teams this season; last year Frisco took four of six games from Milwaukee.


Monday's Starters
Lohse (3-4, 5.53) started poorly this season, but may be coming around, with two quality starts in a row. Last time out he held Detroit to two runs through six innings, and just before that he held the Mets scoreless through eight innings. However, the last time he faced San Francisco, last August, Lohse got bombed for seven runs in less than six innings of a 15-5 Brewers defeat.

Lincecum (4-2, 2.08) is experiencing a bit of a revival so far this season. He's five-for-eight on quality starts, and three for his last four, allowing just three runs total over his last four starts. Not coincidentally, San Francisco has won three of his last four starts.

Also note before placing your MLB pick that Lincecum last started against Milwaukee last August, when he gave up three runs in six innings of a 4-3 Giants loss.


Free MLB Picks
San Francisco's lineup is one of the better in the Majors this season against right-handed pitching, with a .737 team OPS, so we like the underdog Giants today. Also, games played at Miller Park this season are 13-9 on the OVERS, averaging 9.6 runs per, so we're thinking OVER.

MLB Picks: San Francisco +116 at GT Bets and OVER eight runs at Heritage

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