After losing two in a row to the Chicago Cubs, I'm placing my Saturday MLB pick on the San Francisco Giants' plus money line as they are too good to be swept.
The Giants simply are not the type team to get swept and although they still have two more shots at the Cubs in Chicago look for them to come out on top today. As an underdog there is some good value here on Matt Cain and a solid Giants team even against a very good young pitcher and Kyle Hendricks.
Giants vs. Cubs Betting Odds
Since this line came out it has gone up a little bit, and once again we are seeing people jump off the San Francisco Giants train a little too soon. I'm not sure what this team has to do to get a little respect but it is definitely not coming from the odds makers. Across the board the Giants are around a +122 a +129 underdog, and you can get that +129 at 5Dimes. The way the line is moving though you might want to wait before first pitch to jump on San Francisco if you plan on taking them.
San Francisco Giants
It makes sense for Cain to be the underdog in this spot coming in with a 4.91 ERA, 1.45 whip, 24 strikeouts, and a 2-2 record this season. What you're getting though is a guy with a 3.42 career ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 10 years of major league service. Since getting back from injury in early July he is not been as sharp as we are accustomed to seeing him. But he hasn't been completely terrible although he is coming off of two rough outings allowing eight earned runs over 11 innings. He is a big game pitcher in this a big game spot so I like him to come out and shut down the Cubs.
Offensively the Giants have been decent this season and are ranked ninth in runs scored per game at 4.39, sixth in OPS at .749, and third in batting average hitting .272 as a team. They are really good away hitting team and these stats of runs per game, OPS, and batting average all go up on the road. After being kind of limited at the plate yesterday by Lester I look for them to give good support to Cain today.
Hendricks comes in with a 3.67 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 103 strikeouts, and a 5-5 record. I don't think the Cubs were expecting this much solid production out of him and he has been a nice steady option for them on the mound. He has also been pretty hot and cold this year though and in his last 10 games he went a nice stretch of allowing zero earned runs over three straight but since then has allowed 11 earned runs in his last four starts. He has very good control, so the Giants should get a lot of opportunities to put the ball in play.
The Cubs rank 22nd in the league in runs scored per game at 3.91, 24th in OPS at .691, and hit .240 as a team which ranks 28th in the major leagues. Although I already mentioned this after taking the Giants in the first game of the series, these offensive statistics of the Cubs all go down at home and like the Giants they are a better road hitting team the statistically than at home.
It makes sense the people want to jump on the Chicago Cubs because they have been playing really well overall. Let's not forget though who they are playing. Don't forget about the Giants, despite the last two losses in Chicago, have been playing well the second half of the season, and I doubt they will get swept in the series. The good value MLB pick is on a team that knows how to win.
MLB Picks: Giants +135 at 5Dimes