In afternoon action in the Bronx, the Yankees are good-sized MLB odds favorites to knockoff Minnesota in the series finale and take all three games against the stumbling Twins.
Minnesota was looking good last night with a 4-1 lead until A-Rod hit an A-bomb, a grand slam in this case to give New York the leads and they continued to pound Twins pitching until they had a 8-4 triumph.
It has been tough go for Minnesota in the last 32 days with a 9-20 record and falling off the wild card pace. In truth, the bigger surprise was they managed to be 10 games over .500 at the All-Star break when their futures betting odds had them to be the worst team in the American League.
First-year manager Paul Molitor had them playing solid fundamental baseball, but eventually the facts could not lie and there were reasons why Minnesota was ninth in runs scored in the league and 11th in earned run average.
Baseball handicappers have witnessed the team from the Land of 10,000 Lakes really taking on water on the road and they have slipped to 21-36 (-7.6 units).
Though not perfect, New York is back to being a hard to reckon with club at home with a 34-21 record. Being the Yankees, inflated prices are the norm for MLB picks, especially when they are at least a good team like they are this year.
The keys for the season have been a better than anticipated offense, which is second in the majors in runs scored and doing it with the heavy lumber, listed second in balls flying over the fence. The other big factor is the bullpen, which limits chances for the opposition, leading the league in strikeouts and is fourth in OBP and tied for first in best save percentage. This is the identity of this team, which might just get them back to the postseason.
Santana vs. Eovaldi
After looking very sharp in three of his first four outings after an 80-game suspension, Ervin Santana (2-3, 5.48 ERA) has third base to home looking like a conga line for the opposing teams. In his past four starts, he had surrendered 22 earned runs on 32 base hits in 20 innings, plus add in 11 walks on top of that. Besides leaving far too many pitches over the plate, his swing and miss ratio is down considerably with only seven strikeouts in that period. If you think maybe Santana is a bounce back candidate for sports picks, think again as he's 5-8 with a 6.34 ERA against the Bronx Bombers.
Nathan Eovaldi (12-2, 4.26) has been like that lucky pair of socks you where when needing something good to happen. With an ERA that has not been below four since early May, Eovaldi has been the beneficiary of run support because it is impossible to have this good a record with a WHIP of 1.49 and opposing hitters batting .297 against his tosses. In his defense, the right-hander has an ERA of 3.40 since July and his longest stint of the season was eight innings against these very Twins on July 26th.
Twins vs. Yankees Betting Odds and Outcome
The overnight line at sportsbooks like Heritagesports.eu had New York at -165 with a total at Ov8.5 (-120). While conceivably Minnesota could score runs on Eovaldi, the team on the Pinstripes might bounce Santana around even worse and the Yanks run of good fortune could continue.
With the Yankees and their starting pitcher 12-3 versus an AL team with an on-base percentage .330 or worse this season, all the elements are in place for another New York triumph.
Free MLB Pick - Yankees -179 at BetOnline