Pick Cardinals +165 On The Road When Playing Mets

Cardinals

Joe Gavazzi

Monday, July 25, 2016 6:28 PM GMT

The St. Louis Cardinals visit the NY Mets for the first of a 3-game, early week series. First pitch is slated for 7:10 ET.  Each of these teams is in the playoff hunt with the Mets holding a 1-game lead in the loss column against visiting St. Louis. 

St. Louis Cardinals (C. Martinez) vs. NY Mets (Syndergaard)
That leaves the Mets ½ game behind Miami for the Wild Card, while trailing Washington by 5 games for division lead. St. Louis is 1 game out of the Wild Card spot and trails the Cubs by 7½ games for the division lead. While NY has a respectable 26-20 home record, St. Louis has an outstanding road record with a 27-16 road mark (good for a .628 winning percentage, easily the best on the road in MLB).  

The Mets have just taken 2 of 3 at Miami over the weekend, following their 3-0 shutout of the Marlins on Sunday. But, they still are on just a 5-7 recent trend. The Cards were rolling with 5 consecutive victories, prior to losing both weekend games at home to the Dodgers by a combined score of 16-8.  Their rally from 8 runs down fell short in a 9-6 loss on Sunday night baseball.  

I have repeatedly stated that the Cards are underperforming their OPS numbers.  Entering this week, they have the No. 4 overall batting OPS at .778 (compare to .719 for the Mets). Even more impressive is their top rated road OPS of .813. Relievers are performing well for St. Louis with a .642 OPS (2nd only to the Dodgers). With those kinds of numbers, there is plenty of upside for St. Louis in the next 2 months. And with their ace on the mound tonight, at this huge underdog price, we can only make them our MLB Dog of the Day.

Syndergaard is a respected starter for the Mets with a record of 9-4 and a 2.43 ERA. But, Syndergaard has won just 1 of his last 4 starts and he has worked more than 6 IP only once in his last 5 starts.  Somehow, he has managed to win 7 of his most recent 9 decisions. Yet, that work is far outclassed by St. Louis starter, Martinez, who has a lofty 2.83 ERA for the year to date. Martinez is 2-0 recently, working 12 IP while allowing just 3 runs, 8 hits and an amazing 16 Ks. Consistency has been the watchword. In his most recent 9 starts, Martinez is 5-1, allowing 3 or less runs in each start. As a mirror image of his team on the road, Martinez is 5-1 with a 1.71 ERA in 7 road starts.  Further bolstering our case is a 0.57 ERA vs. the Mets in 2 starts (5 appearances) vs. the NYers.  

 As our MLB Dog of the Day, I invite you to put the MLB odds in your favor and join me in my MLB pick on the St. Louis Cardinals tonight. 

 

Free MLB Pick: Cardinals +165
Best Line Offered: at Bet365

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