Pick Brewers +182 to Win Again vs. Cardinals at Busch Stadium & Go 'Under'

Darin Zank

Tuesday, June 2, 2015 1:35 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 2, 2015 1:35 PM UTC

St. Louis tries to get this series to even when the teams meet for Game 2 Tuesday night. I'm here to share my MLB pick and analyze the betting odds on offer for this 2nd matchup.

Brewers-Cardinals Tuesday Betting Odds
In early betting action St. Louis and Lance Lynn were chalked at around -190 on the MLB odds over Milwaukee and rookie Tyler Cravy, with an OVER/UNDER of 7.5 runs. The Cardinals could also be gotten at around +110 giving the run and a half on the run line.


The Situation
Milwaukee took the opener of this three-game series Monday night 1-0, getting six good innings from Mike Fiers and three shutout innings from the bullpen. The Brewers won Monday as +125 underdogs on the betting line, and the game never approached its total of seven runs.
Milwaukee just snapped a seven-game losing streak with a 7-6, 17-inning victory over Arizona Sunday. So at 18-34 the Brewers own the worst record in the Majors.

At 33-18 St. Louis owns the best record in baseball, and a five-game lead in the NL Central. The Cardinals have won two series in a row and six of their last eight games. They've also played five UNDERS in a row, and nine in their last 11 games, in part because their pitching has been tough, but also because their bats have been a little cold.

On the season St. Louis has taken four of seven games from Milwaukee, with the totals leaning UNDER by a 4-3 margin.


Tuesday's Starters
Lynn (3-4, 3.41) is six-for-10 on quality starts this season, and three for his last four. Last time out he gave up three runs – two earned – in six innings against Arizona, although he also walked four batters. Just before that Lynn got nicked for five runs and 10 hits in six innings by Kansas City. On the season Lynn has allowed 61 hits through 60 2/3 innings, with 21 walks and 67 strikeouts. St. Louis is 5-5 in Lynn's starts, with the totals leaning UNDER by a 7-3 margin.

Lynn got roughed up by the Brewers back on April 26 to the tune of six runs in five innings of a 6-3 Cardinals loss. But over his five previous outings against Milwaukee he allowed just six ER through 30 innings.

Cravy, a former 17th-round draft choice, will make his ML debut Tuesday. The righty got the call from the Minors after going 5-4 with a 4.04 ERA down at Colorado Springs this spring. In parts of seven Minor League seasons Cravy is 33-26/3.71, with 150 walks against 445 strikeouts in 461 innings.


Tuesday's Batting Splits
St. Louis ranks seventh in the Majors this season with a .739 team OPS against right-handed pitching, while Milwaukee ranks 22nd against righties with a .676 team OPS.


Personnel Update
Milwaukee recently lost OF Khris Davis to a knee injury, but got some good news Monday with the return of clutch stick Jonathan Lucroy, after he missed six weeks with a broken toe.

St. Louis, meanwhile, is without 1B Matt Adams, who's on the DL with a strained quad.


Brewers-Cardinals Free Picks
St. Louis is the obvious choice, but even as Milwaukee sends a rookie to the hill today's line seems inflated by at least 20-30 cents; we believe the betting value resides with the underdog Brewers. Also, games played at Busch Stadium this season are 17-9 on the UNDERS, averaging just a shade over seven runs per. So we're thinking under for our MLB picks.

MLB Picks: Milwaukee +182 at YouWager and UNDER 7.5 runs at WagerWeb

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