Pick Blue Jays to Cover Run Line MLB Odds Against Tigers

David Lawrence

Saturday, August 29, 2015 11:11 AM GMT

The Tigers have fallen off the proverbial cliff this season, while the Blue Jays are involved in a very intense divisional race in the AL East. Find inside our betting predictions for this game. 

Momentum
These teams are total opposites in terms of momentum. The Tigers and Jays have parted company relative to an earlier point in the season. The Tigers were once 26-18, but they have been worse than 15 games under .500 ever since. More recently, they’ve lost their last two series to the Texas Rangers and Los Angeles Angels. They lost the opener to Toronto on Friday night. They have dropped six of seven games. What’s worse is that the Tigers have gotten decent starting pitching from emergency acquisitions such as Randy Wolf, an aging veteran who was picked up off the scrap heap, essentially. Wolf has pitched 14 innings and given up only six runs, really good for his age and skill level. Yet, the Tigers could not score any runs in the first eight innings of each of those games. It shows how the season has gone for a team that had made four straight playoff appearances, but will not make a fifth this year.

The Blue Jays, on the other hand, have not lost a series since they lost two of three to the Yankees in the middle of August. They subsequently won series against the Angels (in a sweep) and Texas (two of three). They won the opener against Detroit on Friday night. They are neck and neck with the Yankees, and have won 19 of their last 23.

 

Pitching Matchup
Buck Farmer is the starter for Detroit, pushed into the rotation due to injuries to Anibal Sanchez, Daniel Norris, and Shane Greene, plus the ineffectiveness of other spot starters during the season. He has a 7.80 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP. On Aug. 24, in his first start since July 31, Farmer was okay – he gave up three runs in 5 1/3 innings. Yet, he’s certainly not a world-beater.

Drew Hutchison gets the call for the Blue Jays. He has a 5.06 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. He was very strong in his last two starts, giving up a total of three runs in 13 2/3 innings. Yet, he was sent down to the minors because the Jays carried only four starters with them on a recent road trip because of extra days off in the schedule. Hutchison has been terrible away from home – he has an ERA of 9.00 this season. His home ERA, though, is 2.57. He did pitch once in the minors (over the past weekend) to stay sharp for this game, so he won’t be too rusty.

 

What’s The Pick?
Hutchison is no sure thing against the Tigers’ bats, but Farmer against the white-hot Jays’ offense – which has scored a total of 60 runs in its last 7 games (an average of over eight runs per game) – is more of a mismatch. Interestingly enough, Farmer has pitched in nine games this season and the Tigers have lost eight of them. While the line is too high here, the Jays should win and cover. Take them on the runline.

MLB Pick: Blue Jays -1.5 -110 at Bovada