Pick Blue Jays -1.5 as Indians' 6-Game W Streak Ends Tonight

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, September 1, 2015 12:42 PM GMT

Tuesday, Sep. 1, 2015 12:42 PM GMT

The Blue Jays are one of the biggest favorites on the MLB odds board for tonight, as they try to hold on to the division lead. Will they take care of Cleveland at home?

Odds Overview
The MLB odds vary depending on the sportsbook, but for the most part we see Toronto favored in the -185 to -215 range, making the Blue Jays one of the biggest favorites out there this evening. Only the Mets (at home versus the Phillies) can compete with that kind of chalk on Tuesday.

If you're of the opinion the Indians are the MLB pick, you can find them at right around +175 to win. Meanwhile, we see a high O/U of nine runs out there for the taking, which is no surprise given the prime hitting environment in the Rogers Centre. 

 

Toronto Blue Jays (Estrada)
The Blue Jays were unable to win their fourth straight yesterday, losing 4-2 in the series opener against Cleveland. David Price ended up with the losing decision, with Toronto unable to get much of anything going against Danny Salazar.

Despite losing yesterday, the Blue Jays remain atop the AL East, holding a game-and-a-half lead over the Yankees. It's a race that will go down to the wire, so each and every game is incredibly important for Toronto down the stretch. Tonight, it'll be up to veteran right-hander Marco Estrada to guide the Blue Jays.

Estrada is 11-8 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.09 WHIP on the season, and he's enjoyed an excellent second half to his campaign, going 5-3 with a 2.61 ERA in eight starts since the All-Star break. He's yet to face Cleveland in 2015, but will be liking his chances of a nice outing considering he's received plenty of run support throughout the season.

 

Cleveland Indians (Anderson)
If you weren't aware, the Indians have been one of the hottest teams in all of baseball recently. They've reeled off an impressive six-game winning streak and have improved their overall record to 64-66. Because of their play of late, Cleveland now finds themselves just four games back of a Wildcard spot.

Tonight the Indians will send out Cody Anderson to the bump, and it's safe to say he's been struggling in his rookie season. The righty is 2-3 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.11 WHIP, and he's seen the wheels come off since an amazing start to his MLB career which saw him log a 0.89 ERA through his first four appearances (spanning 30 and 1/3 innings of work). We've seen Anderson find success at this level, but opposing offenses seem to have him figured out lately.

Anderson has been reasonably solid out on the road in 2015, recording a 3.20 ERA over 25 and 1/3 innings. That being said, pitching in Toronto is a whole different ballgame, so Anderson will have to be at his very best this evening.

 

MLB Pick
We realize the Indians are playing some of their best baseball of the season, but we have a hard time picturing them winning once again tonight. Anderson has been shaky, and that's putting it nicely, and now he has to come to terms with the MLB's scariest offense. This could get ugly quickly.

What's more, Estrada has been much more solid than people may realize, and he's performed well in spite of the tough pitching environment at home. Over 13 appearances (10 starts), Estrada has gone 5-4 with a 2.97 ERA inside Rogers Centre, which gives us a lot more confidence in him to log another quality outing.

So while Cleveland may be on a roll, we're fading them tonight and instead backing Toronto to even up the series in style. We feel confident in the Blue Jays here, so we'll back them on the run-line at an appealing price of +100.

MLB Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+103) at Pinnacle

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