Phillies vs. Mets MLB Picks: Total Runs Predictions for Game 3

Willie Bee

Wednesday, April 15, 2015 11:51 AM UTC

Wednesday, Apr. 15, 2015 11:51 AM UTC

The New York Mets have their brooms ready to sweep the Philadelphia Phillies out of town Wednesday when the old rivals conclude their 3-game MLB odds set at Citi Field.

There was an outbreak of hit batsmen on Tuesday baseball betting card, four of the plunkings occurring in New York where the Mets were entertaining the Philadelphia Phillies. That could set the stage for a testy conclusion to the series tonight as the Mets look to extend their 3-game win streak with a sweep of the Phils.

The Hump Day action gets underway Wednesday at 7:10 PM (ET), the Phillies sending Jerome Williams to the bump while Jonathon Niese toils for the home team. New York opened the MLB odds around -160, but we're seeing moneylines in the low-to-mid -140s following overnight wagering. Baseball bettors also have a 7 run total to consider.

Philadelphia managed to club four homers, two by Chase Utley, but they were all solo shots as the Mets held on for a 6-5 victory in Game 2. The win came with a potentially steep cost as New York saw 3B David Wright leave the game with a hamstring injury that likely sends him to the DL, and also saw OF Michael Cuddyer exit early after being hit on the left hand by a David Buchanan pitch.


Niese Has Had Phils' Number Last Three Seasons
Philadelphia manager Ryne Sandberg had no complaints about the way Williams pitched in his first start of the campaign last Friday vs. the Nationals. The veteran righty allowed a 1st-inning homer before blanking Washington from then through the sixth. Phillie hitters awoke late to grab a 4-1 lead, leaving the club 7-3 in Williams' 10 starts since arriving in Philadelphia last August.

Niese also pitched well the same night in Atlanta, but his defense was shoddy and the New York bullpen ended up taking the loss in a 5-3 Braves victory. The Mets have won his last five starts vs. the Phillies, including all four a year ago, and are 9-2 when Niese opposes them since 2012, the lefty recording a 2.30 ERA (74.1 IP).


Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
Still a relative newbie with only five full seasons as an MLB umpire under his belt, Dan Bellino should have the plate for the series finale. His first plate assignment of 2015 is his eighth at Citi Field, five of the previous seven going 'over' the totals. The Chicago native ran 16-11-1 O/U/P in 2014.

The weatherman has a nice, crisp forecast for tonight's tilt. A few clouds should still be overhead at first pitch, but the humidity will be down from Tuesday's matchup and the thermometer sitting in the low-60s at the start of the match. Pitchers also might benefit from an 8-10 mph north breeze (in from center, left-center).

I don't expect the umpires to put up with much in terms of inside pitches this evening, and that could lead to more runs which is why I'm coming right back with the 'over' for my free MLB picks.

MLB Pick: Phillies-Mets Over 7 at Bet365

Season: 9-7 (+1.35)

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