Phillies vs. Mets MLB Picks and Predictions

profile image of Willie.Bee
Phillies vs. Mets MLB Picks and Predictions
Zack Wheeler #45 of the Philadelphia Phillies delivers a pitch. Photo by Todd Kirkland / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP

Fresh off a doubleheader sweep on Tuesday, the New York Mets look to complete the full broom job with a series sweep of the rival Philadelphia Phillies in a prime-time matchup on Wednesday’s baseball betting board. Who will get the nod tonight in New York? Read on for an in-depth look at this game and a free pick, courtesy of SBR.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets

Wednesday, April 14, 2021 – 07:10 PM EDT at Citi Field

After the original series opener was rained out on Monday, Philadelphia and New York caught things up with a couple of 7-inning affairs on Tuesday. The opener actually took eight innings before the Mets pulled off a 4-3 victory.

Marcus Stroman did the lion’s share of the work in the nightcap, a 4-0 combined shutout with Jeurys Familia. Heritage Sports (visit our our Heritage Sports Review) chalked New York -150 in the opener before setting the Mets as small underdogs in the second game, and the two dubyas allowed them to move percentage points ahead of the Phillies at the top of the NL East.

Phils 4-1 O/U on Road to Begin ‘21

Most of the country can catch the game on the MLB Network, and the initial mound battle finds former Mets hurler Zack Wheeler (1-1, 2.31) up next for Philadelphia opposite New York’s David Peterson (0-1, 13.50). The Phillies are priced -115 with 8-8½ for the total at most online sportsbooks.

Wheeler’s first two starts of 2021 both came against the Braves, one a true gem and the other to be filed down on the other end of the pitching spectrum. He worked seven shutout innings in his season debut at home, allowing just one hit and whiffing 10 in a 4-0 final. Last Friday in Atlanta, Wheeler couldn’t make it through the fifth having surrendered three runs on seven hits and four free passes as a small underdog on the MLB odds.

He faced his former teammates three times last season, the Phillies winning two of the games while Wheeler pitched to a 3.54 ERA. Wheeler logged a 3.53 ERA at Citi Field in his final 30 starts in a Mets uniform.

Francisco Lindor #12 of the New York Mets. Photo by ELSA / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP

Power Outage: Mets with Just 4 HR in First 7 Games

New York is struggling to put runs on the board so far, and the middle infield-tandem of Jeff McNeil and Francisco Lindor have to shoulder their share of the blame. Lindor is hitting just .174 with one extra base hit, while McNeil is at .118 after collecting a pair of singles on Tuesday.

Peterson probably wouldn’t mind if Rhys Hoskins was a late lineup scratch for Wednesday’s contest. In his season debut last Wednesday in Philadelphia, Peterson fell behind early as a +155 underdog at online betting sites and eventually took the loss with a 4 IP, 6 ER pitching line.

Hoskins took Peterson deep in the first inning, then tagged the southpaw for two more doubles. Hoskins also homered off Peterson in one of his starts against the Phillies a season ago. Add it all up, and Peterson has worked six innings against Philadelphia in his short career, allowing 11 earned runs.

Rhys Hoskins #17 of the Philadelphia Phillies. Photo by ELSA / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP

Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick

Now in his 44th and final season working games in the big leagues, Joe West chiefs the umpire crew for the series, and the usual rotation was thrown out of whack by Tuesday’s twinbill. West called Game 1, then sat in Game 2 when Nic Lentz worked the dish. Alex Mackay and Jeremy Riggs were brought on board to be part of the doubleheader, each of them working only a handful of games during their 2020 debut seasons.

Either Mackay or Riggs could stick around and end up calling balls and strikes in the series finale, but chances are the task falls to Bruce Dreckman, a 20-year veteran who is 1-0 O/U on the young season and 6-1 his last seven plate assignments at Citi Field.

Best Sportsbooks Banner

Clouds still cover the skies over Flushing, but there’s only a very slight chance of rain with the contest beginning in the low-60s on the thermometer. A 5-10 SW breeze is also in the mix, possibly helping flies headed out to right-center a bit.

Like New York, Philadelphia is also having trouble putting any consistent offense on the board. Maybe the Phillies’ bats can find some extra life in them tonight against Peterson, enough to make a free MLB pick on the run line pay off as they avoid the Mets’ brooms.

Free MLB Pick: Phillies -1½ (+140) at Intertops (visit our Intertops Review)

Phillies -1.5(+140)
Visit Site

Willie’s MLB season picks record: 2-5 (-3.33)

*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.