Phillies vs. Mets MLB Picks: Back 'Rested' New York

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Phillies vs. Mets MLB Picks: Back 'Rested' New York
Pete Alonso #20 of the New York Mets at bat. Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images/AFP

*Editor’s Note: This game was postponed for tomorrow due to the weather.

The Philadelphia Phillies make their first visit of the season to Citi Field in Queens as they open a four-game series with the NL East-rival New York Mets on Monday. Which way to lean with your MLB picks

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 

Monday, April 12, 2021 – 07:10 P.M. ET at Citi Field

These teams met in the City of Brotherly Love to open last week, and the Phillies won two of three – every game in the series was won by multiple runs. Both Philadelphia victories came via reliever Connor Brogdon despite pitching only a combined 2.2 innings – but he didn’t allow any runs and had good timing on when he entered. 

Rhys Hoskins had a big series, going 7-for-11 with four runs scored, a homer, and two RBIs. Didi Gregorius was 4-for-12 with a homer and two RBIs, while catcher JT Realmuto – whom the Mets pursued in free agency this offseason before Realmuto re-signed – had a homer and five RBIs. 

Jonathan Villar was 3-for-7 in the series for the Mets with a double and triple. Former NL Rookie of the Year Pete Alonso was 3-for-9 with a homer and three RBIs.  

In 2020, the Phillies won the season series 6-4 and were 2-2 at Citi Field. The over is 7-3 at top sportsbooks in the past 10 meetings in New York.  

Phillies Probable Pitcher: Chase Anderson 

One injury note for the Phillies as reliever Archie Bradley was placed on the 10-day injured list Sunday with a left oblique strain. The right-hander had pitched in four games this season and had a 6.00 ERA in three innings. Lefty JoJo Romero was recalled from the team’s alternate site to take his roster spot.  

Philadelphia also is at a minor disadvantage here as it had to play in Atlanta on Sunday night and then fly late to New York. The Phils won 7-6 in a very controversial fashion. Closer Hector Neris retired the Braves in order in the bottom of the ninth and hasn’t allowed a run yet this year.  

Chase Anderson
Chase Anderson #57 of the Philadelphia Phillies throws a pitch. Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images/AFP

It’s right-hander Chase Anderson (0-1, 3.60) on the bump here. He pitched last Tuesday vs. the Mets and allowed two runs on two hits over five innings in a no-decision. Those two hits were a double by Pete Alonso in the second inning and a solo homer in the fourth by Dominic Smith. 

Anderson has pitched nine times in his career vs. the Mets and is 2-4 with a 4.47 ERA in 44.1 innings with 44 strikeouts and 19 walks. Michael Conforto is 3-for-15 off him with three homers and five RBIs. Brandon Nimmo is 3-for-8 with a double and solo homer. Alonso is 1-for-5 with a double. New Met Francisco Lindor is 0-for-5. 

The Phillies are 10-24 in their past 34 games as underdogs.  

Mets Probable Pitcher: David Peterson 

The Mets had an interesting Sunday afternoon at home vs. the Marlins. For some reason, the game started on time even though it was raining, but it lasted only nine pitches before being eventually suspended.  

"This game should have never been started. Not smart at all," Mets starting pitcher Marcus Stroman wrote in a tweet. "Those conditions put everyone at risk. Beyond happy no players on either side were injured. Hate that I have to wait another 5 days to pitch again. That's a miserable feeling. However, #LFGM each and every day!" 

The Mets have had some bad luck so far with just five games played as their season-opening series against the Nationals was postponed due to positive COVID-19 cases among Washington players. 

David Peterson of the Mets
David Peterson #77 of the New York Mets. Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images/AFP

Had Sunday’s game not started, Stroman could have pitched here, but instead, it will be the weak link of that rotation in lefty David Peterson (0-1, 13.50). He took the loss in Philadelphia last Wednesday, allowing six runs on seven hits (two homers) over four innings. Rhys Hoskins and Alec Bohm went yard off him. Peterson allowed two hits in the bottom of the fifth inning before being removed, and those runs would eventually score. 

Peterson has made two of his 11 career appearances against Philadelphia and has allowed 11 runs in 6.0 innings in those two starts (16.50 ERA). In his nine appearances against all other clubs, he has a 2.64 ERA (14 earned runs in 47.2 innings). 

I frankly don’t have much faith in Peterson here, but the Mets didn’t have to travel or use any relievers on Sunday (unlike Philadelphia on both counts) and thus will have their full bullpen. That's why I'm siding with New York for today's matchup.

MLB Pick: Mets at -135 with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Mets (-135)
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*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.