Philadelphia Phillies vs CH Cubs Predictions for Thursday, May 4th

Phillies pitcher Zach Eflin in action

Mark Lathrop

Thursday, May 4, 2017 12:47 PM GMT

Our handicapper's recent slide started with Phillies' blow up in the bullpen and back-to-back-to-back home runs allowed against the Dodgers. He is going to take the insurance run here in this MLB pick.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs

It's time for the Phillies to face Cubs in game 4 and they still have the opportunity to tie the series. They game is set to start at 2:20 pm E.T at Chicago.

I backed Phillies starter, Zach Eflin, as a huge road underdog in his last start, just to have his fine pitching performance ruined by his bullpen in the bottom of the 9th inning. It seems to be a trend, as Eflin has started 3 times to a 1.89 ERA and has not factored into any decisions yet. He is dealing right now and has a .149 batting average against to show for his efforts. What I also like about Eflin is his very low line drive rate of 14.3%. Line drives turn into runs more than any other batted ball type, and this mark is excellent.

Going against Eflin will be John Lackey, who has struggled in his last three starts to the tune of a 6.50 ERA. He’s won three decisions in a row against the Phillies, but with the last start against them in June of last year I am not putting much stock into it. Philadelphia has been surprisingly competitive so far this year and with Eflin, on the mound, I will back them on the run line to keep the game close as a Thursday MLB Pick of the Day.

 

Free MLB Pick: Philadelphia +1.5 Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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