Peavy's Debut for Giants Lacks Underdog Betting Value vs. LA

Steven Suarez

Sunday, July 27, 2014 1:44 PM UTC

Sunday, Jul. 27, 2014 1:44 PM UTC

Jake Peavy makes his Giants debut this afternoon and will hope to lead his new team back to the top of the division. Let's examine the MLB odds and come up with a play that maximizes the best value out there.

Odds Overview
As of now the Dodgers are -115 favorites on the MLB betting odds board, with the Giants available for backing at roughly +105.

If you're interested in making a play on the total, you can find the current O/U at an seven seven runs.

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Los Angeles Dodgers (Ryu)
As expected, Clayton Kershaw was practically unhittable and was able to lead the Dodgers to a 5-0 win yesterday.

In a complete-game shutout (9.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 7 K), Kershaw rose to the occasion once again. Los Angeles has now won each of the first two games of the series and will now go for the three-game sweep behind the arm of Hyun-Jin Ryu.

Ryu is 11-5 with a 3.39 ERA and 1.21 WHIP on the season. He's recovered nicely from an awful start in Detroit early this month, tossing two straight quality starts in which he's allowed a grand total of seven hits and two runs over 13 innings. Ryu picked up a winning decision in both outings.

Interestingly enough, Ryu has been noticeably more effective on the road than at home. Whereas he owns a 4.13 ERA in nine starts at Dodger Stadium, he's gone 7-2 with a 2.73 ERA in 10 starts outside of LA.

Overall, it's clear the Dodgers are picking up momentum at the right time, with the bats coming through nicely for them as well. Last night it was Adrian Gonzalez, Hanley Ramirez and Juan Uribe that did most of the damage. Who will get it done tonight?


San Francisco Giants (Peavy)
The Giants have been outplayed across the board in this series so far, totaling a meager one run through the first two games.

It hasn't helped that their starters have been unable to find their best stuff, a major reason why San Francisco felt the need to go out and get Jake Peavy from the Red Sox.

Peavy isn't having the best of seasons, however, so we'll have to see if a change of scenario can help him turn things around. The right-hander is 1-9 with a 4.72 ERA and 1.43 WHIP on the year, putting him on course for one of his worst overall seasons of his career.

Nonetheless, Peavy does have experience against the National League West and he's done exceptionally well against the Dodgers over the years. We'll have to see if that past success can creep back in and help Peavy get off to the perfect start in his new environment.

Run support has been an issue for Peavy throughout 2014 but, with the way things have been going, we're not sure things will turn out much better in San Francisco. The Giants are near the bottom in the four major offensive categories, including team batting average (.243) where they rank 24th.


MLB Pick
Peavy's San Francisco debut is the major story here, but we haven't been too impressed with how he's been pitching this season. He's been struggling to keep his pitch count down and we have a feeling LA's bats will continue to be effective.

What's more, Ryu's excelled on the road and now comes up against a San Francisco offense that's cooled off significantly as of late.

The Dodgers, who are now 33-23 on the road, were good to us yesterday, so let's go right back to them this evening and back them to win on the money-line as one of our MLB picks today and secure what would be a mighty impressive sweep.

Free MLB Pick: Dodgers -115

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