Ryan is 10-5 +4.90 units with his 5 Star MLB Titans
I had released one qualified 5 Star play for Monday and it was on Houston, who lost to Texas. So, for the year, I am not 10-5 having made 4.90 units/unit wagered in 15 releases. You will see that over time the profits grind in and you must have that long-term vision to fully benefit from my work. There will be horrid losses along the way and of course there will be some huge dogs that appear to be magical winners. The key is to simply maintain an even disposition and wager the same amounts each day trusting that over the long-term, profits will be significant.
Tuesday's Plays Philadelphia Boxed with Lee
It will be quite a night in Citizen's Bank Park, but not because of any current Philadelphia fan. The Angels' Mike Trout, who has been compared to Mickey Mantle and rightfully so, will be in Citizen's Bank for the first time to play a game. He is from Millville, NJ and more than 4000 tickets have been sold to Millville residents for them to attend this historic game. In 2008 when the Phillies were in the World Series, Trout was a Senior in high School, and hung out with fellow Philly fan tailgaters in the parking lot, because he did not have enough money to get a ticket. He always followed the Phillies growing up and now gets a chance to play in their home ball park, but against them.
Now, onto the meaningful game notes, metrics, and situations. I like Philadelphia in this matchup with Cliff Lee on the hill. Trout is an amazing player, but he is just one of nine players that will be facing Lee. Here are some game situations that support my play on Philadelphia. Angels are a money brining 2-16 (-13.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. Lee's team record is a solid 28-11 (+15.6 Units) against the money line against AL West opponents since 1997. He is also 7-4 in 12 starts with a solid 2.95 ERA and a 1.042 WHIP against the Angels.
Lee had a horrid last start against Toronto where in a very rare situation lost his composure on a fly ball to deep center field, that at the MLB level should have been caught. That loss of focus then allowed two mammoth home runs to unfold and the Phillies lost 10-0. Lee rarely has poor starts in succession and I strongly believe he will get the job done tonight throwing a minimum of 7 innings.[gameodds]3/263854/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]
Take Houston Over Texas
I lost with Houston last night, but my simulator has come up with another opportunity to back them. Of the 12 books that I monitor, 76% of the bets made by the public are on the Texas and anything over 70% triggers a red flag. I have noted over my 20-years that when the public and media attention draws itself in unison on something that will happen, it rarely pans out that way. In a smaller scale we have all heard announcers say, 'He has hit 18 free throws in a row' and then the very next free throw is a brick. Or, he has not missed a put inside of three feet in 58 attempts and the next three footer doesn't even hit the hole. Even in the financial markets where I was a Chief Currency Strategist, when public sentiment either Bullish or Bearish reach extremes levels, the price movement is opposite in a violent fashion. So for my MLB picks, I like Houston because of the SIM projections and also because of the negative public sentiment that Houston will win the game.
MLB Picks: Take the Astros +105 and the Phillies