Pair of Total MLB Picks for Saturday's Postseason Games

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, October 17, 2015 2:21 PM UTC

Saturday, Oct. 17, 2015 2:21 PM UTC

Don’t make a move on either MLB postseason game without first reading this betting preview. Our MLB handicapping professional shares his picks on each total in this extremely informative piece.

Blue Jays (Price) vs. Royals (Ventura) 4:07 PM ET
David Price has been one of the best pitchers in baseball during recent seasons. However, he’s inexplicably struggled in postseason appearances, evidenced by a 0-6 career team start record at this time of year. Price has been very shaky during his previous two starts, posting a sizable 6.75 ERA in those outings. The explosive Toronto offense was silent in the opening game of this ALCS during a 5-0 loss. I look for their bats to come alive in Game 2.

Yordano Ventura made one start versus Toronto this year, and it was an unimpressive one. During that outing, he allowed 5 earned runs in 7.0 innings of work. Ventura made two starts in the 2015 ALDS against Houston, and was ineffective, compiling a 7.71 ERA during those appearances.

The home plate umpire for Game 2 of the ALCS will be Laz Diaz. Games have gone 19-10 (65.5%) over the total this year, and 57-32 (64.0%) over during the past three seasons when Diaz is behind home plate. Relative to this low total, I like this game to be a high scoring affair, and one of my MLB picks today will be indicative of that prediction.

MLB Pick: Play on the Blue Jays and Royals Over 7.0 (-115) at Heritage.

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Must Read: Saturday's ALCS Game 2 & NLCS Game 1 Money Line Plays 

Cubs (Lester) vs. Mets (Harvey) 8:07 PM ET
Jon Lester has been in superb form during his previous three starts, evidenced by his microscopic 0.63 WHIP, and 24 strikeouts against only 1 walk. Lester has made two starts versus the Mets in 2015, and had a stellar 1.62 ERA. According to MLB betting odds, The Cubs are a +110 money line underdog today. Lester has gone 36-14 (725) under in his career team starts when installed as a money line underdog. The Cubs will be facing an opponent (Mets) today that’s had just 53 stolen bases in 167 games (0.32 PG) this season. Chicago has gone 18-5 under the total in 2015 versus opponents averaging 0.35 or less steals per game.

Matt Harvey has displayed very good form during his last three starts, posting a 2.04 ERA, and struck out 24 while walking just 2. Harvey made one start against the Cubs this year, and allowed no earned runs on 3 hits during 7.0 innings pitched. The Mets have struggled offensively during their previous seven games. During that stretch they’ve had a miserable .176 team batting average in addition to a terrible .551 OPS.

MLB Pick: Play on the Cubs and Mets Under 6.5 (-118) at 5Dimes.

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