Pair of Picks for Wednesday's Cardinals/Brewers Rubber Match

Darin Zank

Wednesday, June 3, 2015 12:13 PM GMT

The first-place Cardinals and last-place Brewers play a rubber match Wednesday afternoon at Busch. Which team will cover the MLB odds? Find the answer and a free pick inside this betting preview.

Brewers-Cardinals Wednesday Betting Odds
Most books opened St. Louis and John Lackey at around -165 over Milwaukee and Jimmy Nelson, with a total of 7.5 runs. In the early betting many books dropped that total to seven.

The Cardinals could also be found on the MLB odds board getting around +150 giving the run and a half on the run line.

 

The Situation
Milwaukee won the opener of this series Monday night 1-0, but St. Louis took Tuesday night's contest by that same 1-0 score. The Brewers got the tying run to third base with one out in the ninth inning Tuesday night, but Aramis Ramirez grounded into a game-ending double play.

The Cardinals are now 21-7 at home this season, while the Brewers are 9-15 on the road.

 

Wednesday's Starters
Lackey (3-3, 2.83) is six-for-10 on quality starts this season. Last time out he held the Dodgers scoreless through seven innings, with one walk and nine strikeouts, and over his last six starts he's allowed a total of eight earned runs. On the season Lackey has held opponents to fewer hits, 56, than innings pitched, 63 2/3.

St. Louis has lost three of Lackey's last four starts, mainly because of poor run support. Also, Lackey's last seven starts have all played UNDER.

Since the beginning of last season Lackey is two-for-three on QS against Milwaukee; the Cardinals won two of those games, and two of those games played UNDER.

Nelson (2-5, 3.90) is only one for his last five on quality starts. Last time out he gave up four runs in six innings against Arizona, although he also whiffed eight while walking none. On the season Nelson has allowed fewer hits, 50, than innings pitched, 62 1/3, but eight of those hits have left the yard.

Milwaukee is 1-4 over Nelson's last five starts.

In two career starts against St. Louis, both coming last season, Nelson gave up 10 ER through just 9 1/3 innings; the Brewers lost both those games.

Must Read: Must Watch, Must Bet Matches this Week in Baseball

Wednesday's Betting Splits
The Cardinals are 28-13 against right-handed starters this season, while Milwaukee is 13-29 against righties.

 

Free MLB Picks
The Cardinals are the MLB pick today, and in chasing a price we'll take a chance and go with the home team on the run line. Also, neither team is doing much with the bats lately, so we're thinking UNDER.

MLB Picks: St. Louis +150 on the run line at Pinnacle and UNDER seven runs at GT Bets