Padres vs. Rockies Free MLB Picks and Odds Analysis

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Padres vs. Rockies Free MLB Picks and Odds Analysis
Fernando Tatis Jr. #23 of the San Diego Padres. Ezra Shaw/Getty Images/AFP

Two teams coming off of disastrous weekend series will meet looking to reverse their fortunes when the second-place San Diego Padres face the last place Colorado Rockies.

San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies

Monday, May 10, 2021 – 08:40 PM EDT at Coors Field 

Two teams who suffered through brutal weekends will try to reverse their fortunes against each other starting on Monday night. Keep reading for our Free MLB Picks.

The San Diego Padres entered the weekend with a chance to take first place from the San Francisco Giants. Instead, the Giants increased their lead, winning the first two games before the Padres salvaged Sunday’s finale. 

Now, after the Padres have played in one showdown after another with National League West Division leaders, San Diego gets a bit of a breather as it attempts to find its footing again. The series against the last place Colorado Rockies will be just San Diego’s sixth game against a team with a losing record in the last 22.

The Rockies, meanwhile, are 10 games below .500 and have the worst record in the National League with a two and a half game cushion over the next worst team. 

The Rockies have no sympathy for the Padres’ tough schedule. Colorado has played 27 games against winning teams, more than any other team. The Rockies have also played nine of the last 13 games against teams currently leading their division. 

Even in a rough season, Colorado’s weekend was particularly disappointing, as the Rockies were swept by the Cardinals, and former Colorado star Nolan Arenado, traded after becoming disgruntled with the team in the offseason. Arenado had an extra-base hit in all three games, while the Rockies could have used his bat, getting shut out in two of the three contests. 

Glimmer of Hope

The Padres never led in the first two games of the San Francisco series before breaking through on Sunday. San Diego put 11 runs on the board in the series finale, the perfect send-off for the Padres as they head to the hitters paradise of Coors Field. 

San Diego’s 11 runs were one more than the Padres had managed in the previous four games combined, and it’s the first time in nine games San Diego scored more than six. They’d managed just 22 runs in the first eight games before putting up half of that in the ninth one. 

“It was nice to be able to get quite a few barrels to the baseball,” manager Jayce Tingler said. “To be able to have extra-base hits, to be able to have base runners, it was nice to see.”

After hitting .192 in the previous four games, San Diego posted season highs in extra base hits and base hits on Sunday. 

The Padres have also leaned heavily on their bullpen of late. Dinelson Lamet will try to help stabilize the starting staff. He will be making his second start since coming off the injured list due to forearm tightness and will look to increase on his two-inning outing last week. 

Fighting the Injury Bug

The Rockies are getting a pair of key players back just in time for San Diego, although the status of a third is cloudier. Yency Almonte was activated from the injured list on Sunday after getting cleared to return from his hand contusion. The team hopes he’ll find last year’s form, when the reliever went 3-0, 2.93. Almonte already has topped last year’s totals for walks, home runs allowed and losses in less than half as many appearances and less than a third of the innings pitched.  

The Rockies will also get back Antonio Senzatela, who has been on the injured list with a groin problem. He only missed one start and will return to the mound Monday night. He’s 1-3, 5.76 this year but has had success in nine starts and six relief stints against the Padres in his career. Colorado may be without first baseman C.J. Cron, who was scratched from Friday’s game with back tightness. He also didn’t play Saturday or Sunday, and manager Bud Black said it was still up in the air whether he’d need a trip to the injured list. 

The Pick

The Padres finally get a break in their schedule and will play in an environment that should be just what the doctor ordered for their offense. San Diego has struggled against poor teams, winning just four of the last seven against the Pirates and splitting two games with the Diamondbacks. Still, San Diego should be able to work out some frustrations at the plate to start the week and beat the MLB odds.

MLB Pick: Padres -171 with BetOnline (visit our Bet Online Review

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*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.