'Over' the Play in Indians-Twins Tilt, Weather Permitting

adalberto mejia twins

Willie Bee

Wednesday, April 19, 2017 12:52 PM GMT

Wednesday, Apr. 19, 2017 12:52 PM GMT

Will Mother Nature allow Wednesday's clash to be played in Minnesota where the Indians are favored on the MLB odds in the third of a four-game series against the sinking Twins?

MLB Season Record: 4-11 (-7.50)

That hot start the Minnesota Twins got off to has cooled considerably as they head into the third of a 4-game set at home against the Cleveland Indians on Wednesday. That is if the weather will cooperate with the 8:10 PM (ET) contest at Target Field where Trevor Bauer and rookie Adalberto Mejia are the scheduled hurlers. BetOnline is offering Cleveland at -135 with shops split on either an 8½- or 9-run total.

The Tribe opened the series with a 3-1 win as -145 chalk on the MLB odds, Danny Salazar combining with Cleveland's 3-headed bullpen monster to stifle the Twins. Cleveland's 11-4 romp on Tuesday brought both teams back to a level 7-7 on the season and marked Minnesota's seventh loss in the last 10 after starting 4-0.

 

Will Indians Be Baffled Facing Mejia For 1st Time?

Though he has enjoyed some success at times, I'm starting to believe that Bauer is never going to live up to the expectations that made him the third overall pick by Arizona out of UCLA in 2011. He certainly enjoyed no success in his last outing, a 7-6 loss to the Tigers in Cleveland, Detroit dinging a pair of homers among eight hits. In his four career starts at Target Field, Bauer owns a 5.56 ERA with the Indians losing three of the contests.

Mejia has faced the White Sox twice this season, his only two career starts, and while he improved the last time out here at Target Field, the bottom line is Minnesota lost both games. Five walks in less than seven frames so far has been a problem for the Dominican southpaw who is facing the Indians for the first time in his still very young career. He has yet to face a left-handed hitter this season, and it will be interesting to see how Mejia does against Cleveland's Michael Brantley tonight.

 

Umpire Trends, Mother Nature & A Free Pick

This is Joe West's crew, but Country Joe has been MIA the first two games and Hunter Wendelstedt has assumed chief status while West is away with Paul Nauert filling in. It's unclear when West will return, but assuming that is not tonight then Alan Porter is next in line to call balls and strikes. The 39-year-old has worked the plate three times this season, two of them going 'under' before last Saturday's 8-7 Pirates win at Wrigley. Porter called two games at Target field last season, both shooting past the totals.

The total tonight has a good chance to be zero with the weatherman calling for a 100% chance of rain, and even if that does hold off it's guaranteed to be on the cool side in the upper 40s with a 12-15 mph NE blow (in from left).  With no trust in either hurler and Cleveland's bats stroking, my free baseball pick will be on the 'over.'

MLB Free Pick: 'Over' 8.5Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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