One Team's Road Success Cashing Run Line Tickets at 83% Rate

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, July 8, 2015 1:32 PM GMT

Tonight the Blue Jays meet for the third time with the White Sox and our expert handicapper is sharing his insight on what's the best way to bet this matchup in order to maximize your profit.

Toronto Blue Jays (Hutchison) vs. Chicago White Sox (Danks) 8:10 ET
The Blue Jays and White Sox match up in the 3rd game of this early week set. The White Sox took a 4-2 victory on Monday night with 4 unearned runs. The Blue Jays came back for a 2-1 victory Tuesday night to even the series. The final score of this game will look nothing like either of the first 2. In fact, there may be more runs scored in the first inning than each of the first two games combined. Each of the starters is horrendous. But, the Blue Jays No. 1 OPS of .783 is miles apart from the last rated OPS of the White Sox at .653.

All 15 teams in the American League are playing between .453 and .593 baseball. The White Sox have the 14th ranked record at 37-44.  After an 8-game slide, they have responded with a 9-6 record. The regression is coming!  Sending Danks to the mound is a sure way to begin that slide.  Danks was pitching so poorly that he was skipped for a turn in the rotation.  His .843 OPS is the worst in the league. In 9 starts against Toronto, Danks has a 6.23 ERA. With the Blue Jays the best in the business against south paws, look for them to get a healthy piece of Danks once again tonight.

Toronto is locked into a 4-team race for AL East superiority with NYY, Baltimore, and Tampa Bay separated by only 2 ½ games. The Blue Jays understand that getting victories against the weak links of the league are essential, if they wish to remain competitive. The big Blue Jay bats were on fire during an 18-6 recent run. They have since faded with a 3-6 slide. Expect them to emerge against lefthander, Danks, tonight.  For the season, Toronto has a .295 BA vs. lefthanders and a .841 OPS vs. south paws. Hutchison has been horrible on the road this year.  In 9 starts on the road, Hutchison has a 9.00 ERA with a 1.02 OPS against and a 2.00 road WHIP. Those would normally be pure PLAY AGAINST numbers, except that Toronto has won 5 of those 9 starts due to their incredible run support.

Toronto struggled to split the first 2 games of this series, averaging just 2 RPG against quality lefties, Sale and Quintana. But, in this 3rd game, the White Sox step way down in class, offering Danks as what will surely be a sacrificial lamb!  We make this a run line play, noting that 34 of 44 (77%) Toronto victories have come by 2 or more runs, including 15 of 18 road wins, that’s 83%!  Make this your Run Line Massacre MLB pick of the Night!

MLB Pick: Take Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 +110 at 5Dimes

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