Oakland Continues To Be Top Play On Our List: Bet A's Run Line Over Rockies

Joe Gavazzi

Tuesday, June 30, 2015 3:32 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 30, 2015 3:32 PM UTC

Colorado and Oakland continue their early week set, following a 7-1 victory by Oakland on Monday night. Can we cash the run line on the A's again? Read inside to find our MLB pick. 

Colorado Rockies (J. De La Rosa) vs. Oakland A’s (Gray) (-1 ½ R/EVEN) 10:05 ET
Colorado and Oakland continue their early week set, following a 7-1 victory by Oakland on Monday night. That continued the road woes for the poor-pitching Rockies and indicated that Oakland was far from dead, despite their weekend debacle vs. the Royals. Tonight, we again favor the pitching mismatch with Gray over De La Rosa and feel confident using the run line once again, backed by team trends that are 100% and 83%.  Let’s get right to the specifics.

The Rockies went an uncharacteristic, 6-0, in their first 6 road games this season, sweeping Milwaukee and San Francisco. Since that time, Colorado has returned to the road form that saw them go 21-60 as traveler last season. The Rockies are now 10-21 away of late. That includes 0-14 on the road in Interleague play, dating to last season. The good-hit, no-pitch Rockies have indeed blasted 55 runs in their previous 9 games.  But, they are on just a 6-13 run, as their starters have produced just 5 QS in the last 19 outings.  With a MLB worst .797 pitching OPS, it is improbable that Colorado holds down Oakland tonight. Today’s starter, J. De La Rosa, enters with a 5.15 ERA for the season and a 1.51 WHIP.  When you consider that he also has a 4.84 BB/9 IP, the worst in MLB, you have the makings for a disaster. De La Rosa was pulled after 5 IP of his previous start vs. Arizona, when a cut on the middle finger of his pitching hand reopened. It is a chronic injury, which figures to limit his innings on the mound today.

Oakland continues to be at the top of our PLAY ON list. Their 278 victories the previous 3 years is the best in MLB. With a No. 13 batting OPS of .717 and No. 5 pitching OPS of .665, Oakland deserves far better than their 35-44 record.  That is largely a function of a 2-14 losing streak which dropped them to 14-30 at the quarter pole, which at that time was the worst record in MLB. Credit the demise of a shoddy defense which led MLB in errors.  Now on the comeback trail, Oakland has gone 21-13, an over .600 clip.  They showed their resiliency with last night’s 7-1 win over Colorado which followed their sweep at the hands of the Kansas City Royals in which they scored 7 total runs this past weekend.  For today’s starter, Gray, there have been a couple of mediocre starts in which he has allowed 3+ runs in consecutive starts for the first time this season.  But, the YTD numbers are tough to ignore with a 9-3 record, a 2.09 ERA and a 0.83 home WHIP. With last night’s victory, Oakland has now won 4 straight vs. the Rockies, averaging 8.3 RPG. That victory also boosted their record at home vs. interleague foes to 18-5 in which they have averaged 5.4 RPG with a 2.58 ERA.   

Run line players take note, including the Rockies’ recent 0-14 slide in interleague road play, consider that 8 of 10 recent Colorado road losses have come by 2 or more runs. In those defeats, the Rockies have been outscored by a combined count of 49-19. In addition, 29 of 35 Oakland victories (83%) have come by 2 or more runs. Lay the runs for another resounding Oakland interleague victory!

MLB Pick: Take Oakland A’s

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