Oakland Athletics vs N.Y. Yankees Predictions for Saturday, May 27th

Mark Lathrop

Saturday, May 27, 2017 12:41 PM UTC

Saturday, May. 27, 2017 12:41 PM UTC

The Yankees look to continue the A’s American League's worst road record on Saturday. Listed starters for this game are Jharel Cotton and C.C. Sabathia. As I’m writing this before my Memorial Weekend travels I have no odds available, but there will be value to be had in this matchup.

Oakland A's

A pitching change has Jharel Cotton being recalled from AAA to start this game in New York. Cotton is running an FIP of 4.58 over 38 major league innings this season and an ERA of 5.68. His walks are much higher in the MLB at 9.4% versus just 2.2% in AAA. Cotton has thrown some gems on the year, but when you really dig into the performances you find that they were against some of the lower end competition in the league, like the Kansas City Royals. What alarms me about Cotton in this matchup is his average allowed against right-handers, which is sitting at a robust .292. Also as the weather has gotten warmer Cotton has run into dinger problems. He’s an extreme fly-ball pitcher at 43.9%, so good hitting conditions can get him into trouble.


New York Yankees

The New York Yankees start a 17-year veteran, C.C. Sabathia, in this game who has put up a 4-2 record over 9 starts and 50.2 innings pitched. The perennial innings eater is decidedly average this year accruing a 4.73 FIP and a 4.62 ERA. His strikeouts are down to their lowest rate in 12 years at 6.57 K/9, and his HR/FB rate is up to 15.2%. Sabathia has struggled mightily at home this year, with a 7.41 ERA to go along with a .275 batting average allowed and 1.53 WHIP. There is something up with how batters are seeing the ball off of him at home for sure, as his hard hit rate jumps up from 29.1% on the road to a very high 42.3% at home. That’s leading to a HR/FB rate of 26.7% in Yankee Stadium.


Oakland Athletics vs N.Y. Yankees  

The Athletics should be chomping at the bit to face C.C. Sabathia in this situation, as they are just a few home runs off of the leading mark in the MLB. Cotton should be susceptible to any Yankees lineup Joe Girardi puts out with that right-handed split and season home run rates just one dinger above the A’s. This game should see no shortage of home run balls early, so I am taking the Over in this game as one of my Saturday MLB Picks.


Free MLB Picks: Over 9.5Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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