NLDS Pitching Preview, Series Price & Picks for Cards/Dodgers

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, October 2, 2014 12:34 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 2, 2014 12:34 PM UTC

Our MLB betting odds analyst breaks down the starting pitching matchups, and the series price in the NLDS between the Cardinals/Dodgers. Join us in reading this revealing article that finishes with a pair of suggestions pertaining to series price bets.

Series Prices - MLB odds list the Cardinals +165 & Dodgers -190


Starting Pitching Probables
Game 1: Adam Wainwright versus Clayton Kershaw

Game 2: Lance Lynn versus Zack Greinke

Game 3: John Lackey versus Dan Haren or Roberto Hernandez


Game 1 Starting Pitching Preview
The Cardinals Adam Wainwright finds himself in an unfamiliar role as an underdog in Game 1. Not only is he an underdog, but a sizable one at that. That’s pretty hard to fathom considering he’s a 20-games winner in 2014, and has gone a combined 39-18 over the past 2-seasons. Wainwright enters the postseason in sizzling hot form, going 4-0 to end the regular season, including 2 complete games, and compiling a terrific 0.55 ERA.

The Dodgers Clayton Kershaw comes off another spectacular season, going 21-3, and posting a superb 1.77 ERA. The 26-yeard old southpaw has 98 career wins already under his belt, and barring a absolute shocking vote, he’ll win his 3rd Cy Young award in the past 4-seasons. In 209 career starts the Dodgers ace has a superb 2.48 ERA.


Game 2 Starting Pitching Preview
The Cardinals Lance Lynn has put together another solid season, going 15-10, and posting a stellar 2.74 ERA in 33-starts. This year marked his third full season at the big league level, and he’s combined to go 48-27 during that time, and has a career ERA of 3.46. Lynn was roughed up in his only start at Dodger Stadium this year. During that outing on 6/28, he allowed 6 earned runs on 9-hits in only 2.0 innings of work.

The Dodger Zack Greinke has been a valuable acquisition for the Dodgers based on his first 2-years with the organization. He’s gone a combined 32-12 during that time, and with a very good 2.68 ERA. The Dodgers right-hander enters the postseason having gone 5-0 in his last 5 versus the money with a sparkling 2.70 ERA.


Game 3 Starting Pitching Preview
The Cardinals will turn to John Lackey in Game 3 of the series when it heads back to Busch Stadium in St. Louis. Lackey has been a bit of a disappointment in my opinion since coming over at this year’s trade deadline from the Red Sox. As a matter of fact, I’m not quite sure why the Cardinals brass coveted the 35-year old right-hander so much. In 10-starts with St. Louis, he’s gone 3-3, and had a less than impressive 4.30 ERA. Lackey was 1-3 against the money in his last 4-starts with a 4.43 ERA.

The Dodgers are undecided on their Game 3 starter. In all likelihood the decision will come down to a couple of veterans in Dan Haren or Roberto Hernandez. Either of these pitchers is very capable of pitching well enough in this game to give the Dodgers a chance to win. My gut feeling is that it will likely be Haren, who allowed 2 earned runs or less in 6 of his last 7, and 8 of the last 10-starts.


Starting Pitching Final Analysis
When chosing your MLB picks for the matchup keep in mind anytime you have Clayton Kershaw in your starting rotation, it’s only a 5-game series, and if the series goes the distance he will get two starts, without looking at another thing the Dodgers have an edge. Then with Zack Greinke finishing the season so strong, the Dodgers have a clear advantage in this area.


Series Synopsis and Prediction
The biggest obstacle for the Cardinals will be trying to steal at least 1-win with Kershaw on the mound. That’s a monumental task, but if anyone can give them a chance to do so Adam Wainwright is certainly more than capable. The Cardinals have shown an innate ability to perform at a high level in the postseason during the past decade. I have a sneaky suspicion they’ll find a way to extend this series to 5-games. Then it will be the best of luck trying to beat Clayton Kershaw in a deciding Game 5 at home. I’m personally not going to make a series wager in this one. However, I would reluctantly give the lean to the Dodgers at a very steep price to pay. My advice if you’re going to make a series wager on the Dodgers is betting them at a more attractive proposition price.

Free MLB Pick: Dodgers -190 over the Cardinals, or Dodgers -1.5-game (+155)

comment here