NL Central MLB Picks: From Pillar of Profit to Just Plain Awful

Doug Upstone

Monday, June 1, 2015 5:21 PM UTC

Monday, Jun. 1, 2015 5:21 PM UTC

If you are expecting offensive fireworks out the NL Central you would be disappointed. However, this in many ways has created opportunities for making MLB picks against the betting odds.

This division features a combination of the best of National League with the worst, afforing us opportunities to make a boatload of profit. MLB baseball handicappers are quick to point out there are other chances to win with sports picks on a couple of clubs despite the lack of offense.

Here is a team by team look at what each team is doing on offense and where they're headed.


Cardinals – A Pillar of Strength and Profit
The best baseball in the majors in being played in the state of Missouri and in the 'Show Me' state if you look east where the Mississippi River is, you will find a brand of ball that is something. St. Louis has best run differential at this juncture in the majors despite only being average in scoring at 4.2 per contest. However, you can get away with at when you have one finest and deepest pitching staffs from top to bottom.

This is not to say the Cardinals cannot hit, since they rank second in the league in batting average and are third in OBP. St. Louis has the baseball runners, but because they are 11th in home runs, the offense is not quite as efficient as it could be, especially when you realize they are leaving the second-most runners in scoring position in all of baseball. With how the Cards win this might be a knit-picking point when so much money is being made on them at sportsbooks like, nevertheless, it is a fact.

Understanding How Starting Pitcher Success Correlates to OPS

Cubs – Hitting and Fielding Holding Chicago Back
In the last week plus, the Cubs have been either on the road or facing very good teams and their weaknesses as a young team are obvious. Not all the Chicago hitters are quite ready for the day to day grind of a major league season other than Anthony Rizzo.

Joe Maddon’s squad is at a hair over four runs a game. Having recently played Kansas City, even the Royals broadcasters remarked how similar the Cubs are today where Kansas City was a few years ago in their development. Chicago has the unusual situation of being 2nd in the NL in walks and also 1st in strikeouts, which explains why they don’t put it all together. In addition, only Milwaukee has more miscues in the field and much of this a cavalier approach in fielding and throwing and taking bad angles which has and will cause Chicago setbacks.

When the Cubs hit, they should be play on material and when they don’t, go the other way with your MLB picks.


Pirates – Moving Up With Familiar Formula
After being in hibernation for the first seven weeks of the season, the Pittsburgh offense came alive, scoring six runs per contest over a recent eight-game stretch. Players like Andrew McCutchen and Josh Harrison just caught on with how Sterling Marte was hitting and the offense blossomed.

Like the past few years, the Pirates began doing what they have done best, whipping slumping teams or jumping all over clubs which have below .500 records and beating them with regularity. When Clint Hurdle’s team gets into the groove and begins to reach offensive potential, difficult not to use them against the MLB odds.


Reds – Cincinnati Could Have Offensive Surge
From May 9th thru the 27th, Cincinnati’s offense needed a lot deodorant. The Reds lost 13 of 17 games and only twice in that stretch did they manage to reach as many as five runs in game. This past weekend they finally broken out and scored 21 times in a three-game sweep of Washington who was hot coming in.

Realistically, the talent is there to score more than 4 RPG and while the pitching is fair with Johnny Cueto on the DL for spell, this group can to better with names like Joey Votto, Brandon Phillips, Todd Frazier, Zack Cozart and especially Jay Bruce. With Philadelphia series’ sandwiched around San Diego, every reason to think Cincy should continue to rake.


Brewers – Just Plain Awful
It is a good thing Milwaukee fans can tailgate and have a good time at Miller Park because once they head inside, it is sad and boring. After a brutal start, the Brewers play improved for awhile in May and as the month closed, Milwaukee was back to playing how they started. Turns out Ron Roenicke was not the problem as manager, this is just a poorly constructed team by GM Doug Melvin, who has too many players that are not into the team concept.

Besides scoring under four runs a contest, the lack of focus more than physical skill has Milwaukee committing the most errors in the NL and they are far and away the worst (or best depending on perspective) wager in the league. Currently offered at +1200 odds to win the National League by BookMaker.

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