Harper Seeks to Bust Loose and Help Nats Beat Giants Again

Dana Lane

Monday, April 23, 2018 3:48 PM UTC

Monday, Apr. 23, 2018 3:48 PM UTC

Washington has won six of the last seven meetings with San Francisco, including five of seven at AT&T Park. Those trends should continue when the teams begin a series tonight.

MLB Monday: Nationals vs. GiantsFree MLB Pick: Nationals -125Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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The San Francisco Giants (9-12) hope to carry the momentum of their first series win of the season into their series with the Washington Nationals (10-12), who continue to struggle after dropping two of three to the Los Angeles Dodgers. However, the Giants have had their struggles against Washington, especially at home. Washington's Bryce Harper anticipates that the new scenery will shake him out of a slump (two singles in his last 15 at-bats). First pitch tonight is at 10:15 ET, with the Nationals' Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 2.49 ERA) starting against Chris Stratton (1-1, 2.22 ERA).

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Taters gonna tate. 🥔 pic.twitter.com/1T94D53wbs

— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) April 23, 2018

This game has set up nicely for Nationals bettors as the public have flocked to the window to get down on the Giants. The opening number on the MLB odds board showed Washington opening as a -125 favorite, but as usual bettors wanted plus money with the home team, driving the number down to -108 at 5Dimes, setting up a classic pro’s vs Joe’s. With more than 55% of all tickets written coming in on the Nationals it isn’t enough to move the number with "sharp" money leading the way for a dip in the line. I would get on the Nationals now because I anticipate this number holding steady.

The perception is the Nationals are the better of the two teams with the Giants offense struggling. Baseball is the easiest of all the sports to bet because the better teams win the majority of the time; in fact, the public has cashed at a rate of 62% this season. "Sharp" money has been successful 55% but keep in mind bigger players are mostly looking to find a live dog. I once had a guy tell me when I first got to Las Vegas to always go against the public. The thought process behind it is sound but the reality is the public actually does very well against the books.

The Giants have not been very good against teams that have a losing record, dropping eight of their last 17 in that situation. Now they face a Nationals team that has been very good when playing in the Bay Area. Let’s jump on the Nats at the low price for your MLB picks.

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