Monday's Top Plays on Run Total Odds: Two Low-Scoring Affairs

Ross Benjamin

Monday, July 27, 2015 3:15 PM UTC

Monday, Jul. 27, 2015 3:15 PM UTC

This baseball betting guru likes two MLB matchups today above all the rest on Monday’s card. Find out why he focuses his handicapping attention on the Rockies/Cubs and Diamondbacks/Mariners.

Rockies (Jorge De La Rosa) vs. Cubs (Hendricks) 8:05 PM ET
Jorge De La Rosa has welcomed the opportunity to pitch away from Coors Field this season where he’s really struggled. On the road has been a much different adventure for the Rockies southpaw. In six away game starts, De La Rosa has posted an excellent 1.93 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. Colorado’s offensive numbers are drastically different on the road this season compared to hitter friendly Coors Field. They’re averaging just 3.4 runs per game and possess an unimpressive .238 team batting average in their 45 road tilts.

Kyle Hendricks has gone 4-1 under the total in his previous five starts. He’s been a major contributor to those low scoring games by posting an outstanding 1.69 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and compiling a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Cubs offensive production at home this season has a left a lot to be desired. They’re averaging a paltry 3.1 runs per game, and have a poor .226 team batting average at Wrigley Field. The Cubbies are 30-15-3 under the total at home in 2015.

This game has all the ear marks of a low scoring affair. One of my MLB picks on Monday will be reflective of that likelihood occurring. Youwager currently has the most favorable price pertaining to this specific wager.

MLB Picks: Play on the Rockies and Cubs under 7.5 (-125)


Diamondbacks (Ray) vs. Mariners (Montgomery) 10:10 PM ET
Robbie Ray has gone 4-1 under the total in five road starts this season, posting an excellent 1.35 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. In ten overall starts, the Arizona southpaw hurler has a very good 2.71 ERA. The Diamondbacks have gone under the total in their last three and six of their previous eight games. They’ve scored 3 runs or less in each of the last three, and seven of their previous eight.

Mike Montgomery has struggled in recent starts. However, he’s compiled a stellar 3.15 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in five starts at pitcher friendly Safeco Field. Seattle is 26-12 under the total in 2015 when facing an opponent with a losing record. The Mariners are also 30-9 the last two seasons when facing an opponent with a winning percentage of .460 to .490, and Arizona enters today with a 46-51 (.474) record.

I like this to be a low scoring game for one of my MLB picks. At the time of this writing, 5Dimes provided me with the best value in that regard.

MLB Picks: Play on the Diamondbacks and Mariners under 7.0 (+108)

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