Monday's MLB Picks of the Day

Joe Catalano

Monday, May 5, 2014 12:50 PM GMT

Monday, May. 5, 2014 12:50 PM GMT

It’s Cinco De Mayo and it’s time to “Party Like It’s 1999”, but the first thing that we need to do is pick apart today’s MLB schedule and provide a couple of winners for the betting public.

Joe C. Record
34-40 -18.14 Units
We’re off to a rough start this season, but that’s not going to deter me from giving the betting public good advice in providing my picks.

From past seasons, I have absolutely no doubt that the picks will turn around. In the meanwhile, let’s get down to business!

 

Chicago White Sox (15-17) vs. Chicago Cubs (11-18)
Not As Bad As Their Record Indicates
I watched the Cubs on Sunday Night Baseball last night as they lost to the Cards. The Cubs made a valiant comeback and this is a team whose offense has dramatically improved; the pitching is holding them back.

In tonight’s game, that’s not the case as they send Jeff Samardzija (0-3, 1.98) to the mound and he’ll be opposed by Jose Quintana (1-2, 4.00) of the team from the South Side.

Samardzija has a distinct pitching advantage, but the question is “will he get the run support to win this game?” The Cubs have scored more than 2 runs in only 2 of Samardzija’s 6 starts.

It’s kind of puzzling as the Cubs offense is much improved with their top 4 hitters in their lineup of Bonifacio, Valbuena, Rizzo, and Castro. All 4 of these players are having above average seasons.

The White Sox have sort of a unique situation in that they have one of the best home run hitters in the game in Jose Abreu. On the season, Abreu has 12 home runs and 34 runs batted in. Along with Abreu, the Sox have the combination of Alexei Ramirez (.333) and Dayan Viciedo (.330). From there, they have a bunch of players, including the top 2 players in their batting order, treading the Mendoza Line.

It’s easy to see why this ball club is hovering around the .500 mark. Although the White Sox record is better than the Cubs, tonight it will benefit us. Take Jeff Samardzija and the Cubs, who are slight betting favorites at home.

MLB Pick: Cubs -121 at 5 Dimes 

[gameodds]3/263396/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Los Angeles Dodgers (18-14) vs. Washington Nationals (17-14)
Greinke vs. Zimmerman
Although both of these teams have some very imposing hitters such as Yasiel Puig, Hanley Ramirez, Adrian Gonzalez, Jayson Werth, Anthony Rendon, and Adam LaRoche, you should see two pitchers pitching at a very high level tonight  in Zack Greinke and Jordan Zimmerman.

You know exactly what you’re going to get with the veteran Zack Greinke. In 6 starts this season, he hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in any of those starts. He also shows great control with his walks to strikeouts ratio and can mow down the opponent.

Jordan Zimmerman hasn’t been as good as Greinke, but he’s still pitched well. Zimmerman has pitched especially well lately, allowing just 3 runs in his last 2 starts which covers a span of 12 1/3 innings.

Good pitching wins games and although players like LaRoche (5 HR, 19 RBI, .425 OBP%) and Puig (4 HR, 21 RBI, .309) are off to super- fast starts to the season, we’re likely to see a low scoring ball game. Let’s take the under in this game as our betting pick.

MLB Pick: Los Angeles/ Washington Under 7 at 5 Dimes

[gameodds]3/263391/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Good luck, everyone!

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