Monday's Best Bets Under MLB Odds Total: Pitcher's Duels

Swinging Johnson

Monday, May 18, 2015 1:29 PM GMT

After perusing the MLB odds board with calculated attention, we have isolated a pair of totals picks for Monday night's betting ticket, focusing on Cards-Mets & Indians-White Sox.

7:10 PM EDT Cardinals (16-20-1 O/U) vs. Mets (17-17-4 O/U)
The Cardinals salvaged the final game of their three-game set with the Tigers by eking out a 2-1 victory last night and must now hit the highway for a seven-game road trip with their first four taking place in New York against the Mets. St. Louis has gone under the MLB odds total in four of their past five games and will send veteran John Lackey (3.22 ERA, 1.25 WHIP) to the hill for tonight’s game against the Mets’ Matt Harvey (2.31 ERA, 0.92 WHIP).

Lackey’s pitching prowess recently has led to his last four starts going under the MLB odds total with his last appearance resulting in a 2-0 loss to the Cleveland Indians on May 13th. Lackey allowed five hits and two earned runs over the course of 5.3 innings while the Cardinals’ bullpen kept the Tribe off the scoreboard thereafter.

His counterpart this evening will be Matt Harvey who has already had three starts in which he allowed no earned runs. Harvey’s last outing was a dandy when he held the Cubs to no runs on only three hits through seven innings of work on May 13th. Both of Harvey’s career starts against the Cards have been losses yet his ERA is 3.00 with a WHIP of 1.250. Setting aside a 14 run explosion against the Brewers the Mets have averaged only 2.5 runs per game over their last six.

Here we have two quality pitchers entering a series between two teams that have seen the under cash in 10 of 13 occasions over the past three seasons. Neither team is hitting the cover off the ball which signals these two hurlers should enjoy a good old fashioned pitching duel under the bright lights of Citi Field. The Mets 22nd ranked offense should not pose a threat to a savvy veteran like Lackey while Harvey is among the best when he’s in a groove. That’s why I am including under in this matchup as one of my two MLB picks for tonight.

MLB Pick: Under 6 ½ (-115) 

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8:10 PM EDT Indians (20-15-1 O/U) vs. White Sox (15-18-1 O/U)
The Indians were unable to complete a sweep of the Rangers as they fell 5-1 yesterday in Arlington but will now embark on a four-game set with the White Sox by sending Cy Young Award winner Corey Kluber (4.27 ERA, 1.20 WHIP) to the mound tonight. Kluber was nothing short of brilliant in his last appearance, recording 18 strikeouts which were the most in an American League game since Roger Clemens did it back in 1998. He left the game after eight full innings of dazzling work allowing only one hit en route to the Indians 2-0 victory over the Cardinals.

The White Sox will counter with Chris Sale (5.09 ERA, 1.36 WHIP) who picked up a win over the Brewers in his last start where he twirled for eight innings of two run ball and allowed just three hits while striking out 11 before he gave way to the pen who secured the 4-2 decision. Sale’s stats are certainly inflated due to a horrific performance almost three weeks ago in in Minnesota where he lasted only three innings and surrendered eight earned runs on nine hits. Sale has been a workhorse for the White Sox over the past three seasons and had a career year in 2014 where he ended the season with a 2.17 Era and a 0.97 WHIP.

We’ve got two premier pitchers on the hill who have finally found their respective mojos after disappointing starts. Chicago’s offensive production has been anemic ranking 28th in the majors while the Indians offense has been pedestrian at best. Watch both these pitchers work their magic and if they collectively perform even close to their potential this one will go way under the MLB odds total.

MLB Pick: Under 7 (-110) at GTBets.com.