Monday Player Props: Good Matchup for Rockies' Arenado

nolan arenado

Jordan Sharp

Monday, June 12, 2017 6:48 PM UTC

Monday, Jun. 12, 2017 6:48 PM UTC

We split a pair of MLB Props on Sunday Night Baseball, but we hit the one that mattered. With that we gained a unit last night and are heading full steam into a short slate of games Monday night. Let’s keep the profit train rolling!

Season MLB Props Record: 3-3 (+1.20 units)

Nolan Arenado O/U 2½ Runs, Hits & RBIs

We barely missed a perfect sweep last night with Boston's Mookie Betts only needing one more hit to cash the 'over' for us, but while I was tempted to go back to Betts tonight, the 'over' on his play has been jacked up to -130 against Philly's Jerad Eickhoff.

So, after browsing the usual suspects like Bryce Harper for potential runs, hits and RBI value tonight, I ran into Colorado Rockies stud Nolan Arenado. The slugging third baseman is once again putting up huge numbers, and while PNC Park is no hitter’s park it could be for Arenado against Pittsburgh's Jameson Taillon.

Coming off surgery for his testicular cancer, Taillon is making his first start and even though he has posted a couple of rehab starts, it will be tough facing an offense like Colorado’s on that first day back. If the Rockies can jump on him early, Arenado has a great chance at cashing in on the over for this one. The best part is Arenado has almost as good of a chance as Betts or Harper to go over 2½ runs, hits and RBIs, but the over for Arenado is a smooth +120.

Free MLB Pick: 'Over' 2½ (+120)Best Line Offered Both: Bovada Will Daniel Murphy Record A Hit?

Unlike the long-shot +200 prop that we hit on Sunday Night Baseball, this one is a juicer. However, I think it’s pretty safe money.

The Nationals' Murphy is up against another right-hander tonight, a "handedness" he has and will continue to crush. However, the books know that we want all the Murphy we can get against Mike Foltynewicz.

Even with juice of -250 for the yes on this play, I think it’s about as close to a lock gets in this business. Murphy is hitting .341 off righties this season with 8 homers, 34 RBIs and 31 runs scored over 197 plate appearances. He is averaging a run, hit or RBI every 0.64 plate appearances this season, meaning theoretically he is a good play for a hit. Plus, at home against righties, Murphy is hitting .379.

Free MLB Pick: Yes (-250)
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