We tripped and fell on Sunday Night Baseball, and for the first time all season we are in the red. However, our stay in the losing column will be brief, because I have a couple of plays worth taking a shot on this Monday night.
Season MLB Props Record: 9-9 (-0.25 units)Charlie Blackmon O/U 2 Runs, Hits & RBIs
It is somewhat well known that Colorado's Blackmon (and most Rockies hitters) hit the ball much better at home than they do on the road. Blackmon’s splits are a perfect example of that hitting out of the leadoff spot. However, while this prop is somewhat dependent on Blackmon’s teammates to bring him home after he gets on base, tonight we also have the ability to exploit the Giants' Jeff Samardzija.
Colorado has rocked Samardzija this season. In three starts against the Rockies, one at home and two on the road, he has given up 19 runs in 18.1 innings pitched. While he only gave up four runs in his first and only home start against Colorado, Samardzija is susceptible to these blowups, and it seems like the Rockies are one of those teams that trigger them.
Plus, Blackmon is a nice 8-for-26 lifetime off Samardzija, with a double, two triples a homer and two RBIs. If we can catch the Giants starter on a bad night and get the best of Blackmon, I like the 'over' chances here.Free MLB Pick: 'Over' 2 (-125)Best Line Offered Both: Bovada
Will Daniel Murphy Record A Hit?
We hit this one up a week or so ago and cashed it with ease as the Nats' Murphy collected a hit in his first at-bat. Now he is up against Cubs right-hander Eddie Butler, who is vulnerable for a couple of reasons.
Butler hasn’t been bad by any means and his ERA is misleading. If he didn’t walk so many guys, he’d be good, but in this all we need is a hit and it’s not so much Butler, it’s the ability of Murphy. The Nats’ second baseman has a .344 average and a .398 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. While he has done most of that damage on the road, that should get close to evening up over the second half of the season.
Plus, Murphy is riding a nine-game hitting streak and he has only gone hitless three times this month. He is riding a homestand and against an average righty at best, I see him getting a hit and getting us the cash. The chalk is worth the risk tonight.Free MLB Pick: Yes (-250)