Monday MLB Player Props: Bet Big on Nats' Zimmerman

ryan zimmerman

Monday, June 19, 2017 7:35 PM GMT

We struck again on Sunday Night Baseball, and if you’re not tailing these prop picks by now you’re missing out. Follow along once again as we look to beat the bookie on Monday’s slate.

Season MLB Props Record: 8-4 (+3.90 units)

Josh Donaldson O/U 2½ Runs, Hits & RBIs

Donaldson and the Jays are up against Texas righty Austin Bibens-Dirkx tonight, and while Donaldson hasn’t done much over his last few games he has been hitting the ball well in the month of June and I see that continuing tonight. While Bibens-Dirkx has pitched well through his brief time in the majors, the Jays' lineup is stacked with strong hitters and Donaldson is one of them.

Plus, there is extra incentive here to bet the 'over.' If Donaldson can connect with a homer, or he can put up a strong day at the plate and cash us the 'over,' the price Bovada is offering tonight is +120. With a rookie righty on the hill for the Rangers, even though he has been good, I’m betting on Donaldson to best him.

Free MLB Pick: 'Over' 2½ (+120)Best Lines Offered: Bovada Ryan Zimmerman O/U 2½ Runs, Hits & RBIs

However, if Donaldson is the appetizer for the slate of MLB games tonight, Zimmerman is the main course. He is up against Marlins southpaw Justin Nicolino, and with the season Zimmerman is having he is about to roll. Zimmerman owns a .466 wOBA and a 1.149 OPS against lefties this season, and for those who don’t understand advanced stats just know that’s really freaking good.

On top of that, Zimmerman has collected a total of 42 runs, hits and RBIs against lefties this year. The most impressive part about that is he has put up that total in just 54 plate appearances. Considering he is averaging a run, hit or RBI every 0.78 plate appearances, assuming he gets at least four of those tonight gives this prop some insane value.

Especially considering the 'over' will net us a nice +115 if it cashes. Bryce Harper has a worse price than Zimmerman tonight and even though Nicolino hasn’t been great against left-handers either this season, Zimmerman is the guy I want tonight. While the big righty is in a bit of a slump over his last five games, going 2-for-21, I feel confident Zimmerman will find his stroke.

Free MLB Pick: 'Over' 2½