MLB Value Pick on Red Sox Moneyline vs. Yankees

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, September 3, 2014 2:31 PM GMT

The Boston Red Sox are already looking ahead to next season, but their clearly motivated in trying to dampen the New York Yankees’ playoff hopes Wednesday night.

Fallen into a pattern
Boston has alternated wins and losses over its last seven games, as it picked up a 9-4 victory over New York as +140 road underdogs Tuesday, while going OVER the betting total for the first time in four contests.

The Red Sox and Yankees have split their last 38 meetings since Sept. 12, 2012, which is important to consider when making your MLB betting picks, while Boston first baseman Mike Napoli has launched 11 home runs in the series since the start of last season.

It’s important to point out that the club is 8-3 in its last 11 games away from Fenway Park.


Anxious times
New York sits five games back of the Detroit Tigers for the second American League Wild Card spot, which can’t be ignored when looking over the MLB betting odds, especially since it enters this matchup with a minus-32 run differential.

The Yankees rank 14th in the Junior Circuit in runs scored, with most of their offensive problems taking place in the Bronx—averaging just 3.6 runs per game at Yankee Stadium.

MLB handicappers will find that the franchise is 9-20 in its last 29 games versus AL East opponents.


Ranaudo
Red Sox starting pitcher Anthony Ranaudo (3-0, 4.50 ERA) has been recalled from the minor leagues for the fourth time this season, as he was last seen picking up a 8-4 road victory over the Tampa Bay Rays last Friday.

The right-hander has put together a 14-4 record and 2.61 ERA in 24 outings at Triple-A Pawtucket—giving up just 112 hits in 138 combined innings.

In his MLB debut against the Bronx Bombers on Aug. 1, Ranaudo came away with a 4-3 home win.


Kuroda
Yankees starting pitcher Hiroki Kuroda (9-8, 3.88 ERA) didn’t earn a decision in a 3-2 road defeat to the Detroit Tigers last time out, as he allowed two runs and four hits over seven innings of work.

The right-hander is 5-4 with a 4.08 ERA in 14 home games—surrendering 12 home runs in 86 combined frames.

In 13 career games versus the Red Sox, Kuroda has compiled a 4-5 record and 4.18 ERA, including a 3-2 mark and 3.43 ERA at this ballpark.


Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Red Sox as one of their MLB picks, as Kuroda has put together a 5.72 ERA in September the last two years.

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