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MLB Upset Alert: Thursday’s Underdog Bookie Busters

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MLB Upset Alert: Thursday’s Underdog Bookie Busters
Ryan Yarbrough - Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images/AFP

Last night we hooked into another big underdog when the Red Sox outlasted the Mets. Let’s scan the MLB odds board and cash two more pups on Thursday night!

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves

Thursday, July 30, 2020 – 7:10 PM ET at Truist Park

The Rays saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday night when they fell, 7-4, to the Freddie Freeman Show. Yes, the 30-year-old crusher was the straw that stirred the drink for the Braves last night as Freeman powered his way to four hits in five at-bats, including a home run, and three RBI which contributed mightily to Atlanta’s victory.

Tonight, Tampa Bay will trot out 28-year-old Ryan Yarbrough, who looked sharp in his season debut against the Blue Jays in which he held Toronto scoreless over five-plus innings in what resulted in a 4-1 win for the Rays. Yarbrough has vacillated from reliever to starter over his career but so far, so good, in the starter’s role thus far.

The Braves will try to get a split out of this four-game set with the Rays after dropping their first two and winning the third last night. To that end, Atlanta will send a southpaw of their own to the bump when Max Fried gets the starting assignment. The 26-year-old permitted two runs on two hits in an eventual 5-3 extra-innings victory over the Mets in his season debut.

The MLB odds at BetOnline are making it hard to resist putting a few bucks on the underdog Rays in this one as they are getting a generous +130. We’ve got two very good pitchers starting for both teams and offenses on each side that can do damage. Sure, Atlanta has the home field advantage but with no fans in the stands, the only advantage would be the familiarity of Truist Park. This looks like a coin flip to me but the trends below are tipping the scales decidedly in favor of the Rays. Include Tampa Bay in your MLB picks tonight.

Free MLB Pick:

Rays+130
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Kevin Gausman San Francisco Giants
Kevin Gausman - Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images/AFP

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants

Thursday, July 30, 2020 - 9:45 PM ET at Oracle Park

The Giants are coming off of a 7-6 win over the Padres to even the series as well as their season record. Tonight will be the rubber game of this three-game set and San Francisco will give the ball to Kevin Gausman who last saw action in four innings of relief when he yielded two runs on six hits to the Dodgers in a 9-1 setback for the Giants.

San Diego has been a pleasant surprise for their fans, thus far, and will attempt to improve upon their 4-2 record with a victory in San Francisco tonight. Dinelson Lamet looked sharp in his season debut on Saturday when he tossed five innings of one-run, five-hit, baseball in a 5-1 victory over the Diamondbacks.

The Padres are getting plenty of early-season buzz with a rookie manager and a bright outlook. But are you really going to lay north of -170 on lollipops and sunshine? We’re talking the San Diego Padres here, fellas, and although they appear to be better than they have been in a good, long time (wouldn’t take much) any opponent getting this much juice from the sportsbooks is my new best friend.

The Giants have looked fairly decent themselves in the early going and have won three of their last four – with two of those victories over the LA Dodgers – so why not grab the +162 over at Bookmaker and make a value play on San Francisco? Want a little more convincing? Take a look at the numbers below:

  • Padres are 6-13 in their last 19 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
  • Padres are 4-10 in their last 14 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Padres are 5-13 in their last 18 vs. National League West.
  • Padres are 5-16 in their last 21 road games.
  • Padres are 0-5 in Lamet’s last 5 Thursday starts.

Free MLB Pick:

Giants+162
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