MLB Top Totals Picks: Monday's Betting Duo Features ‘Under’ Plays

Ross Benjamin

Monday, July 20, 2015 1:43 PM GMT

Monday, Jul. 20, 2015 1:43 PM GMT

MLB consultant shares his top totals picks on Monday’s card. Take the time to read this insightful betting preview article that covers games between the Red Sox/Angels and Mets/Nationals.

Red Sox (Rodriguez) vs. Angels (Santiago) 5:05 PM ET (Game 1-DH)
Eduardo Rodriguez has been a pleasant surprise for Boston since being inserted into the starting rotation. He’s been especially good on the road, posting a microscopic 0.69 ERA in four starts.

The Red Sox have been shut out in each of the first two games of this series, and amassed just a combined 7 hits. Boston is 21-8 under the total this season when facing a starting pitcher that averages 5 or more strikeouts per outing. Monday’s Angels starter Hector Santiago is averaging 5.6 strikeouts per outing in 2015.

Speaking of Hector Santiago, he’s flown a bit under the radar this season. The southpaw has a superb 2.41 ERA in seventeen starts. He’s been in terrific form of late, going 4-0 in his last four team starts with an exceptional 1.00 ERA, 0.74 WHIP, and a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Santiago has gone 2-0 under the total versus Boston since 2014 while posting a sparkling 2.13 ERA.

After going on a torrid offensive stretch, the Angels bats have cooled a bit in recent games despite their continued winning surge. The Halos have scored 3 runs or less in five of their last seven games. However, it must be noted, they’re still a sizzling 13-3 in their previous sixteen games, and their pitching has really picked up the offensive slack of late. The Angels will also be facing a southpaw starting pitcher today (Eduardo Rodriguez) and they’ve gone 16-6-1 under the total in that role this year.

In my professional opinion this has all the ear marks of a low scoring game, and that’s the direction I’ll be headed with one of my MLB picks today. JustBet.com has the best current number on the MLB odds board and price pertaining to making a wager on going under the total.

MLB Pick: Play on the Red Sox and Angels Under 8.0 (-120) at JustBet

 

Mets (Harvey) vs. Nationals (Gonzalez) 7:05 PM ET
The Mets Matt Harvey has a stellar 1.99 ERA over his previous five starts. In his last three starts versus Washington, Harvey hasn’t allowed any earned runs in 21.0 innings pitched. The Mets are coming off an 18.0 inning marathon at St. Louis on Sunday in which their bullpen was extremely taxed. They’ll expect Harvey to give them a huge start today overcompensating for the lack of rest that their relievers will have.

The Mets continue to be one of the poorer hitting teams in baseball this season despite being a legitimate playoff contender. They left an unfathomable 25 men on base in Sunday’s win. The Mets are 7-2 under the total in their previous nine games.

Gio Gonzalez has displayed superb form over his previous three starts, evidenced by his microscopic 0.90 ERA in those outings. Gonzalez didn’t allow an earned run in his last two starts versus the Mets, and both occasions occurred since 2014. The Nationals southpaw is 6-1 in his team starts at home this season with a very good 2.44 ERA.

Washington is 10-3 under the total in their last thirteen games. They’re averaging just 2.7 runs per game and possess a poor .212 team batting average in their previous seven. In their last series versus the Mets in 2015, they won a pair of 1-0 games, and lost the other encounter 4-0.

I like this game to be a low scoring affair. 5Dimes.com has the best number and price in that regard.

MLB Pick: Play on the Mets and Nationals Under 7.0 (-120) at 5Dimes.

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