MLB Sunday Night Baseball Player Prop Picks

Aledmys Diaz

Jordan Sharp

Sunday, July 2, 2017 6:02 PM UTC

Sunday, Jul. 2, 2017 6:02 PM UTC

For the first time all season, we lost both of our player prop picks on Thursday to dig a slightly bigger hole for ourselves. However, it’s Sunday night and with a nice matchup approaching this evening with the Cardinals and Nationals, I am back to release some winning prop picks courtesy of Bovada.

Nationals O/U 3 ½ runs

Carlos Martinez is on the hill for the Redbirds tonight and as the team’s ace, he is likely the only thing keeping the Cardinals in contention this season. The team can’t hit, but by God, Martinez is a monster.

He owns a 2.88 ERA this season overall, and in his last three starts at home, Martinez has allowed just one run over 26 innings pitched. He went the distance in two of those three starts and while the Nats’ offense is legit, they are injured a little right now and on the road I think the Cards hold them to three or fewer runs.

The Cardinals are on a nice streak right now. They have won six of their last seven games and they have held this Nats’ offense to one run in each of the first two games of this series.

With the Nats’ offense slumping in this series and with the Cardinals playing well, getting their ace on the hill is only going to help them hold down the Nats tonight. Take the under on this one. With Max Scherzer on the hill for the Nationals, this one could see a very low score by game’s end.

Free MLB Pick: UNDER 3 ½ (+105)Best Line Offered: at Bovada Will Aledmys Diaz record a hit?

Aledmys Diaz has had a rough first full season in the majors. When he was called up last year thanks to an injury to Jhonny Peralta, Diaz mashed at the plate like no one expected.

However, 2017 is here and Diaz is falling back down to earth. He has also lost his starting spot (most likely temporarily) and while he has a chance to not be in the lineup tonight, if he is, I doubt he records a hit against Max Scherzer.

Scherzer has been a machine this season, but he is usually pretty tough on right-handed batters. Righties own a .171 wOBA against Scherzer this season over 201 total batters faced. The righty is also striking out nearly 45 percent of all the righties he has faced this season.

Now enter 2017 where Diaz owns a .265 average against righties and right now his BABIP against righties is just .280 this season over 227 plate appearances. While Diaz will probably improve some at the plate this season, Scherzer is no average right-handed pitcher.

Scherzer has an outrageous 0.99 ERA this month over 36.1 innings pitched and while the Nats have struggled to give him run support in some of those starts, tonight if Diaz starts, I think he posts an 0-for day.

Free MLB Pick: No (+120)Best Line Offered: at Bovada
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