MLB Pitching Report for Sunday August 3rd

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, August 3, 2014 2:22 PM UTC

Sunday, Aug. 3, 2014 2:22 PM UTC

We’ll examine a couple of outstanding starting pitching matchups on Sunday, and decipher where the MLB betting value lies in each game. Read our informative MLB wagering article which is concluded by our betting edge predictions.

San Francisco Giants (Bumgarner) vs. New York Mets (Colon) 1:10 PM ET
The Giants starter Madison Bumgarner has gone a terrific 9-3 against the money on the road this season, with an excellent performance line of a 1.75 ERA, a 0.97 WHIP, and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Giants southpaw has seen 9 of his 10-starts on the road go under the total in the last 2-seasons, when facing an opponent with an on-base-percentage of .315 or less. Going into Saturday, the Mets had an OBP of just .310. Since the start of the 2012 season Bumgarner has gone 2-1 against the money versus the Mets with a superb 1.80 ERA.

The Mets starter Bartolo Colon has had an impeccable control this season, walking just 1-man per 7.1 innings pitched. In 9-starts at home, the ageless veteran has posted an outstanding 2.62 ERA, and has a better than 8:1 strikeout to walk ratio. He’s seen 5 of his 6-starts in day games stay under the total in 2014 while compiling a stingy 0.93 WHIP.

Advantage: There’s no sense trying to overanalyze this pitching matchup. I love the way both of these guys have pitched this year in similar situations such as today. I can’t give either pitcher a clear edge today. However, I would be very surprised if this one doesn’t turn out to be a very low scoring affair. I’ll have a lean toward going under the total here.

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Philadelphia Phillies (Hamels) vs. Washington Nationals (Strasburg) 1:35 PM ET
The Phillies starter Cole Hamels has displayed tremendous form over his last 3-starts going 3-0 against the money, with a microscopic 0.78 ERA, struck out 27, and walked just 1. All 3 of those outings also went under the total. In 10-starts on the road this season the Phillies southpaw has been lights out, posting a stellar 1.70 ERA. He’s gone an outstanding 18-5 against the money during the last 2-seasons, after allowing 1-walk or less in each of his previous 2-outings.

The Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg has bordered on ordinary in 2014, and that’s been a huge surprise considering how dominant he’s been since the inception of his MLB career. The Washington right-hander has seen just 7 of his 23-starts stay under the total this season, including just 1 of the 9 when facing a division opponent. He enters today having gone 0-3 against the money in his last 3-starts with a very beatable 4.19 ERA. In 7-starts during the day this season the Washington hurler has posted a lofty 4.81 ERA. One MLB betting statistic that really jumped out at me was his 11-18 record against the money the last 2-seasons, when installed as a favorite of -125 to -175, and he lost -15.10 units versus the money in those outings. On a positive note, he’s gone 5-1 against the money since the start of the 2013 campaign versus Philadelphia with a sparkling 1.08 ERA.

Advantage: I just love the way Cole Hamels has bounced back with a huge season in 2014. Despite pitching much better than his money line record has indicated, it hasn’t seen to deter him from getting stronger as the season has progressed. Like I alluded to in the last paragraph, Steven Strasburg hasn’t been the consistently dominant pitcher this season, than we’ve witnessed in recent years. My advantage here goes to Cole Hamels over Steven Strasburg.

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