MLB Pitcher Report: Do These Underdog Hurlers Have the Goods on Tuesday?

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, July 7, 2015 3:10 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 7, 2015 3:10 PM UTC

On the board this evening after perusing the sportsbooks MLB odds, we will drill down on three National League starting pitchers who are underdogs and determine if they can help their teams win.

The task while cumbersome is not extraordinary against the betting odds and we will tackle and determine if any have a shot at a victory.


Padres vs. Pirates: Ross Needs to be Dirty in the Steel City (And the Padres offense could help)
Tyson Ross (5-7, 3.63 ERA) starts are essentially aligned with how he's performed in his career as a mid to back of the rotation guy, but something has seemed off-kilter this season besides the record. The fact that his career record is 27-47 and he still is in the pitching rotation either speaks to his talent or says how desperate San Diego is for pitching.

Ross is known for a low-90's heavy sinker and when he's right, groundballs are plentiful. But his problem is command and though his strike-outs are up past one per inning, he's also averaging better than four walks per nine innings, which is placing him in bad spots.

The Padres and Ross are +135 underdogs at Wagerweb (higher than most outlets reviewed) against Pittsburgh and have lost their last three contests on this road trip by scoring one time in each game. With Francisco Liriano sporting a 1.98 ERA over his last eight games, the chances of the Friars scoring much seems unlikely, but the left-hander and his teammates are only 1-7 at home versus a NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse the last two seasons. Ross has to be sharp and the Padres bats have to show up.

Slight Disadvantage - Ross and San Diego

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,43,227,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


Diamondbacks vs. Rangers: Ray and D-Backs in Lone Star State
By now the frustration level of Arizona players has to rather high, as they have been in position to reach .500 on seven different times and failed on each occasion. The most recent was Sunday and they will attempt once again to reach that plateau in Arlington.

Robbie Ray (2-4, 2.55) is showing the same tendencies that got him chased out of Detroit despite being only 23. There is a lot less pressure throwing for Arizona than a squad that is competing for the World Series. Ray, as he has done in the past looked good in his first three starts in Sedona red, with a 0.96 ERA when called up in early June. However, opposing hitters in the NL quickly found out beyond his fastball, Ray has below average secondary pitches and are waiting on those instead and his ERA in his last trio of starts has been 4.58.

Texas is glad the Angels have left town after being swept and outscored 33-8 and will utilize Yovani Gallardo (7-6, 2.56) who has gotten very comfortable in a Rangers uniform after the mental adjustment. He has a marvelous 0.88 ERA in past eight outings, which includes a current scoreless streak of 29 1/3 innings since June 10th.

The Diamondbacks are +131 underdogs, have lost nine of 10 in this Dallas suburb and are 3-10 against Gallardo, failing to reach an average of two runs against him. Hard to make a case for MLB picks with the Snakes.

Disadvantage - Roy and Arizona

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,43,227,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


N.Y Mets vs. Giants: Colon Chases Elusive 10th Win in Frisco
This will be Bartolo Colon's (9-6, 4.55) fourth attempt to reach double digits in the win column with New York trying to take a 2-0 series lead over San Francisco. Colon was at fault in his first two tries in surrendering 11 runs over 10 1/3 innings, however, he deserved a better fate after seven shutout innings against Chicago in a no-decision 2-0 extra innings loss.

Colon is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in three career starts in San Fran and is a +115 underdog to Matt Cain and the Giants. Cain is his first start of the season conceded five runs over five innings (two homers) in a 5-4 loss at Miami and hopes for a better outing at home. Unfortunately for Cain his team is in the deep throes of a seven-game losing streak and he and his teammates are 10-20 as a favorite of -110 or higher the last three seasons.

Yes the Mets are 14-27 on the road this campaign, but as a baseball handicapper I can say Colon and New York are at least worth a look.

Slight Advantage - Colon and New York

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,43,227,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here