MLB Picks: Zimmermann & Nationals vs. Royals

Joe Freda

Saturday, August 24, 2013 12:30 PM GMT

Saturday, Aug. 24, 2013 12:30 PM GMT

The Washington Nationals rallied in Friday’s 11-10 victory over the Kansas City Royals, collecting as minus 107 road choices. How will they fare tonight for our MLB picks?

Saturday’s MLB betting has Washington’s Jordan Zimmermann (14-7, 3.37 ERA) facing Kansas City’s Wade Davis (6-9, 5.43 ERA), matching a pair of right-handers. 

Nats, Werth surge past Royals 

Washington piled on seven runs in Friday’s fourth inning, capped off by cleanup man Jayson Werth’s homer to give his club an 8-6 lead. Nationals mates Ian Desmond and Tyler Moore both finished 3-for-5, while Bryce Harper notched three RBIs.

Kansas City’s Eric Hosmer and Justin Maxwell both cracked long balls in the first frame, uniting to bat 5-for-8. Royals outfielder Alex Gordon poked a pair of doubles, while both sides finished with 13 hits.

Zimmermann lit up

Zimmermann logged his first loss in four starts with Monday’s 11-1 setback for Washington to the Chicago Cubs. The 27-year-old was shelled for eight runs over five innings, falling as a 145 road favorite. 

Nationals catcher Wilson Ramos drove in his squad’s sole run, poking a homer in the seventh frame. Washington was held to six hits, while the lopsided affair’s combined 12 runs soared OVER the ‘total’ of 8 ½.

Davis shelled early

Davis has been idle since last Saturday’s 6-5 defeat for Kansas City as a 165 road dog against the Detroit Tigers. The Florida native allowed four runs on eight hits, departing after 3 2/3 innings.

Kansas City’s Chris Getz drove in mate Emilio Bonifacio to tie the game, 5-5, in the eighth inning. The rally ended in the next frame, with Royals reliever Aaron Crow giving up a walkoff homer to Detroit’s Miguel Cabrera for the staff’s loss.

Check out the running series blog for the St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves~

Back the Royals as home dogs

Zimmermann opened as a 120 road favorite on William Hill’s MLB odds board, while the shop first listed the ‘total’ at eight (OVER minus 120). Kansas City’s weather forecast calls for a clear 88 degrees, with 12 mph winds blowing out to left field.

I am backing Davis and the Royals as home dogs here for my sports picks, looking for Ned Yost’s club to end its six-game losing streak in this spot.

Davis should settle down in his return home, where the hurler has held foes to 14 earned runs over his last seven outings (40 2/3 IP). Washington has hit just .222 against right-handed pitching on the road, while going 3-8 in its last 11 spots away from home against a righty starter.

Zimmermann has been overvalued as of late, with the Nationals cashing at just 2-4 in his last six starts as a favorite. Kansas City is 7-3 in its last 10 home dates facing a listed righty, while Friday’s slugfest moved the Royals to notching 4.6 RPG over their last 15 spots at Kauffman Stadium.

Eric Hosmer went 3-for-3 in Friday’s opener, capping off a 7-for-16 stretch in the first four games of Kansas City’s present homestand. Look for Hosmer and Co. to hang some runs again here, evening up the series at a plus MLB odds price.

MLB Pick: Kansas City Royals +100 at William Hill   

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