MLB Picks: Yankees vs. White Sox Series Coverage

Darin Zank

Monday, August 5, 2013 11:30 AM GMT

The New York Yankees, with the possible addition of Alex Rodriguez to the lineup this week, bring the circus to Chicago as they begin a three-game series at the Cell Monday night (8:10 pm ET).

New York is still alive in the AL wild-card race, while the White Sox have lost 10 games in a row. 

How should we approach this series from a baseball betting perspective?

 

7th Aug
Wednesday's Game Three

By: Ron Patrick

 

Chicago has taken the first two games of this series, after winning Tuesday 3-2 behind another quality start from Chris Sale. The White Sox won Tuesday as -120 favorites on the MLB betting line, and the game played UNDER its total of 6.5.

The Yankees, with three straight losses, have fallen to six games behind Texas in the battle for the second American League wild-card spot.

So the Sox will shoot for the sweep, while the Yanks will try to avoid the brooms, when the teams meet for this series finale Wednesday evening (8:10 pm ET).

Wednesday's Betting Odds

As of Wednesday AM most online baseball betting shops we sampled were listing Chicago and Hector Santiago at around -110 over New York and CC Sabathia, with a total of 7.5.

[gameodds]3/240763/?r3=43-999997-349/dec&r-1=43-999997-349/us[/gameodds]

Wednesday's Pitching Match-Up 

Santiago (3-7, 3.28), by our strict standards, is 8-for-15 on quality starts this season, to go along with  11 appearances in relief. Most recently Santiago held Detroit to two runs through seven innings, and over his last six starts he's allowed 12 ER in 39 1/3 innings. 

On the season lefty Santiago, a former 30th-round draft pick, has given up 86 hits in 107 innings, walked 49, which is a bit too much, but struck out 111.

Despite his decent numbers Chicago is just 3-12  in Santiago's starts this year. 

This will be Santiago's first-ever start vs. New York.

Sabathia (9-10, 4.78), like the Yankees, is struggling through his worst season in years. He's 10-for-23 on quality starts this year, and 0 for his last four. Last time out CC gave up five runs and 11 hits in 5 2/3  innings vs. the Padres, and over his last four starts he's been tagged for 22 ER and 47 baserunners (hits + walks) in just 19 2/3 innings.

New York won 12 of Sabathia's first 18 starts this season, but has lost his last five outings.

For the season Sabby has given up 168 hits, including 24 homers, in 152 2/3 innings, walked 38 and struck out 132. 

This will be Sabathia's first start against the White Sox since August of 2011.

Our Take on Wednesday's Game 

Santiago has been solid lately, will Sabathia has struggled. But we just get the feeling New York will be able to stave off the sweep. So in a bit of a contrarian play we'll go with the Yankees with our free sports picks for Wednesday. 

Pick: Take the Yanks at the +102 offered at MatchBook.

 

6th Aug
Tuesday's Game Two

By: Ron Patrick

 

Chicago exploded for seven runs in the first three innings on its way to taking Monday night's series opener 8-1, breaking a 10-game losing streak. The White Sox rapped out 11 base hits – none of them homers – in the first three innings off New York starter Andy Pettitte, and got a quality start from Jose Quintana.

The ChiSox won Monday as -115 favorites on the MLB betting line, and the game played OVER its total of 7.5. 

Yankees IF Alex Rodriguez made his season debut Monday night, going 1-for-4, as he plays while appealing his just-announced 211-game suspension

The Sox will look to make it two wins in a row when the teams meet for Game 2 of this series Tuesday night (8:10 pm ET).

Let our Tuesday MLB Odds Report help you uncover the best value on offer tonight.

Tuesday's Betting Odds 

Most books we sampled Tuesday morning opened Chicago and lefty Chris Sale at around -115 over New York and Hiroki Kuroda, with the total proffered at seven. Many online baseball betting shops then bumped the Sox to around -125. 

[gameodds]3/240717/?r3=43-999997-349/dec&r-1=43-999997-349/us[/gameodds]

Tuesday's Pitching Match-Up

Sale (6-11, 2.92) has been toiling in some bad luck recently for a Sox team having serious problems scoring runs. He is a solid 15-for-20 on quality starts this season, although he is coming off one of his worst efforts of the year, in which he got clipped for five runs and 10 hits in five innings against the Indians last Thursday. But prior to that Sale had gone six straight outings of allowing three earned runs or less.

On the season Sale has given up 118 hits in 142 innings, walked 31 and struck out 155. 

Chicago won seven of Sale's first nine starts this year, but has lost nine of his last 11 outings. However, a good part of that recent swoon has been due to poor run support. 

This will be Sale's first start this year against New York; last year, in his one start vs. the Yanks, Sale held them to one run and three hits through 7 2/3 innings, walked one and struck out 13, in a 2-1 Sox victory in August at the Cell.

Kuroda (10-6, 2.38) has been a rock for the Yankees in an otherwise lost season. So far he's 14-for-22 on quality starts, and four for his last five. Last time out he threw seven scoreless innings against the Dodgers, and over his last five starts he's allowed just two earned runs and 30 baserunners in 33 innings.

On the season Kuroda has given up 117 hits in 139 2/3 innings, walked 27 and struck out 99.

New York is 13-9 in Kuroda's starts this year, 4-0 in his last four outings. 

This will be Kuroda's first start this year vs. the White Sox; last year, in his only start vs. the Sox, he threw seven innings of shut-out ball, allowing just three hits, walking one while whiffing 11 in a 4-0 Yankees victory at the Stadium in June. 

The OVER/UNDERS are a combined 10-29 in games started by Sale and Kuroda this season.

Our Take on Tuesday's Game

The Sox, who had scored just 18 runs over their previous 10 games, shocked us with their eight-run outburst Monday night. But they'll have a tough time repeating that performance against Kuroda tonight. And even though the Yanks have been having problems of their own with the bats recently we'll add New York to our free sports picks for Tuesday. 

Pick: Take the Yankees at the +116 offered at Bet 365.

 

5th Aug
Monday's Series Opener

By: Ron Patrick

 

Yanks-Sox Betting Lines

As of Monday morning most books were listing Monday's game, which matches New York and Andy Pettitte against Chicago and Jose Quintana, at right around a pick 'em, with a total of eight.

Also, The Greek was listing the Yankees at -120 to win this series, with the Sox “getting” +100 as home dogs.

Yanks-Sox Series Set-Up

New York just dropped two of three games in San Diego over the weekend, losing Sunday 6-3. The Yanks are 2-3 on their current road trip, and have been held to three runs or fewer in each of those five games.

So, at 57-53 New York is 9.5 games behind Boston in the AL East, but only 4.5 games behind Cleveland in the battle for the second American League wild-card spot.

Chicago, meanwhile, just got swept three games in Detroit over the weekend, losing Sunday 3-2 to cap off an 0-7 road trip, on which they scored a total of 18 runs.

At 40-69 Chicago is now just playing out the string on this season.

This is the first meeting this season between these two teams.

Monday's Pitching Match-Up

Quintana (5-3, 3.62), by our strict standards, is only 8-for-22 on quality starts this season, but he's gone six straight starts allowing three runs or fewer. Most recently the lefty gave up three runs in five innings against the Indians, and over his last six starts he's allowed 12 earned runs in 38 2/3 innings.

On the season Quintana has given up 123 hits in 131 2/3 innings, walked 39 and struck out 105.

Chicago is 9-13 in Quintana's starts this season.

In his one career start vs. the Yankees Quintana got roughed up for six runs and eight hits in six innings of a 14-7 Sox win back in June of last year.

Pettitte (7-8, 4.28) is 8-for-19 on quality starts this year, and two for his last two. Last time out he held the Dodgers to two runs through seven innings, and just before that he held the Rangers to two runs through six innings.

For the season Pettitte has allowed 130 hits in 117 2/3 innings, walked 29 and struck out 80.

New York is only 9-10 in Pettitte's start this year, but part of that is due to poor run support. The Yankees have lost Pettitte starts by scores of 3-0, 3-2, 4-2, 3-1 and 3-2.

This will be Pettitte's first start against the White Sox since 2010.

In the battle of bullpens for this series New York ranks ninth in the Majors with a 3.12 ERA and has converted 37 of 42 save opportunities, while Chicago ranks 25th with a 4.13 ERA and is 26-for-37 on save opps.

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Yanks-Sox By the Numbers

New York ranks 25th in team OBP at .302 and 25th in scoring at 3.8 runs per game.

Chicago ranks 28th in OBP at .299 and 29th in scoring at 3.6 RPG. 

Yanks-Sox Betting Trends

New York is three games under .500 against right-handed starters this year, but seven games over .500, 20-13, vs. lefties. 

Chicago is 9-18 vs. left-handers this year. 

These two teams are a combined 87-117 on the OVER/UNDERS this season. 

The totals are also 17-27 in games played at the Cell this year. 

Our Take on Monday's Game

New York is still in the running for a wild-card spot, while Chicago is out of everything. So the Yanks have a little more incentive to win at this point in the season. The Yankees are also better vs. lefties, and they own the advantage in the bullpen. So we'll go with New York for our free picks for Monday.

Pick: Take the Yanks at the +102 offered at Bet 365.