MLB Picks: Yankees vs. Rockies Wednesday & Thursday

Joe Freda

Wednesday, May 8, 2013 1:33 PM GMT

Join us as we preview the Wednesday and Thursday matchups between the Yankees and the Rockies, sharing our thoughts and MLB picks for each matchup.

The Colorado Rockies held on for a 2-0 victory in Tuesday’s opener against the New York Yankees, cashing as 131 home favorites. Wednesday night’s rematch has a pair of right-handed hurlers on the hill, while Thursday afternoon’s finale has two southpaws squaring off.

Take a look at our Daily MLB Odds & Betting Lines Report

Wednesday:  Nicasio (3-0, 4.91 ERA) vs Phelps (1-1, 5.56 ERA) 

Colorado’s Juan Nicasio came away with his third no-decision in five starts as part of last Wednesday’s 7-3 triumph as a 131 road dog over the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dominican Republic native lasted four innings, allowing all three of Los Angeles’ runs on five hits. 

New York’s David Phelps made his first start of the year on the same night of action, picking up a no-decision in a 5-4 win for the Yankees against the Houston Astros. The second-year hurler cashed as 185 home ‘chalk,’ giving up Houston’s four runs over 5 2/3 innings. 

MLB odds makers opened Nicasio as a 125 home favorite, while first setting the ‘total’ at a flat 10. The weather forecast at Coors Field calls for 55 degree night, with a 60 percent chance of thunderstorms.

I am backing the Yankees with my MLB picks, as I like road dogs here at a price of plus 120. 

Colorado has tended to not stay hot with a 0-6 mark in the team’s last six spots coming after a win. Nicasio’s record is a bit deceiving, going past five frames just once all year, while the Rockies are just 2-6 in his last eight outings against clubs with winning records. 

New York is 21-9 in its last 30 spots against a starter with a WHIP of more than 1.30, while cashing at 16-5 in the team’s last 21 matchups that followed one of scoring two runs or less. Yankees mates Robinson Cano and Travis Hafner are both 1-for-2 lifetime against Nicasio, with Hafner cracking a home run. 

MLB Pick:  New York Yankees +120 at 5Dimes

[gameodds]3/226271/43/us[/gameodds]

Thursday:  Jeff Francis (1-2, 7.27 ERA) vs C.C. Sabathia (4-3, 3.31 ERA) 

Jeff Francis picked up a second straight no-decision for Colorado in Friday’s 7-4 defeat as a 125 home dog to the Tampa Bay Rays. The 32-year-old gave up four earned runs over five innings, with his club losing the contest in extra frames. 

The same night saw C.C. Sabathia record a second loss in his last three starts for New York, dropping a 2-0 setback as a 143 road favorite with the Oakland Athletics. Sabathia allowed both of Oakland’s runs on eight hits, lasting six innings. 

Sabathia last faced the Rockies in 2011, allowing one run over eight frames in an 8-3 victory for New York as 237 home ‘chalk.’  Francis has not seen the Yankees’ lineup for six years, holding them to one run in a seven-inning stint for Colorado to collect as a 147 home dog. 

I am going with the UNDER as part of Thursday’s sports picks here, looking for some low octane to end this series. 

New York has hit just .196 against left-handed pitching away from home, with a .234 OBP. The UNDER is 7-0-1 in the Yankees’ last eight road matchups against southpaw starters, while going 4-1 in the team’s last five interleague contests facing a listed lefty.

Colorado’s lineup has had limited success against Sabathia’s arm over the years and should be held tight in this spot. Rockies outfielder Michael Cuddyer has the most history with 55 lifetime at-bat’s against the veteran, managing just one homer as part of 11 hits. 

Umpire Phil Cuzzi is slated to call the 'getaway day' duel, with the UNDER going 8-3 in the New Jersey native's last 11 interleague matchups behind home plate.  Look for the UNDER to collect again here.

MLB Pick:  UNDER at Bookmaker.eu