MLB Picks: Yankees vs. Rays Series Coverage for 3 Games

Darin Zank

Saturday, April 18, 2015 12:34 PM GMT

Are we betting the Rays to continue their recent run? Tampa Bay just completed a 5-2 road trip, and now begins a three-game weekend series with rival New York at the Trop Friday night. 

18 April
Yankees vs. Rays Game 3

By: Ron Patrick

 

Yanks-Rays Game 2 Recap
New York broke a scoreless tie Saturday night with a pair of runs in the top of the sixth inning, then broke it open with a seven-run seventh, with help from a grand slam by Chris Young (with two outs and two strikes), on its way to a 9-0 victory.

Yanks starter Masahiro Tanaka allowed just two hits through seven innings of work, walked none and whiffed eight. At one point he retired 15 batters in a row. That performance was a welcome change, after Tanaka gave up seven ER in nine innings through his first two starts of this season.

Tampa starter Jake Odorizzi went into the sixth with a shutout, but ended up getting charged with three runs on five hits through six-plus innings. On the season Odorizzi has now allowed four runs and nine hits through 20 2/3 innings.

The Yankees have now scored a total of 42 runs over their last six games.

New York OF Brett Gardner had missed recent action with a sore wrist, but started Saturday. Meanwhile, OF Carlos Beltran missed the game with an illness.

Tampa 3B Evan Longoria batted DH Friday, dealing with a sore hip, but played in the field Saturday. So he seems to be alright.

Saturday's game, like Friday's series opener, played OVER on the MLB odds total. The Yankees are now 9-2 on the OVERS this season.

 

Yanks-Rays Game 3 Betting Odds
As of early Sunday morning the best line we could find on New York with Michael Pineda was the -120 offered at Heritage, while Tampa and rookie Matt Andriese could be gotten at +113 at Pinnacle.

 

Sunday's Starters
Andriese will be making his second career ML start; Tuesday night, in his first, he gave up two runs and five hits in 3 2/3 innings of a 3-2 Rays victory over Toronto.

Obviously, this will be Andriese's first-ever start against against the Yankees, which may give him an edge, at least for the first couple of times through the lineup.

Last summer down at Triple-A Durham Andriese went 11-8 with a 3.77 ERA, allowing fewer hits, 153, than innings pitched, 162, walking 48 while striking out 129. So he may have a future in the Majors.

Pineda will be making his third start of this season; 11 days ago he held Toronto to two runs through six innings of a 4-3 New York victory, but six days ago he gave up five runs and nine hits through 6 1/3 innings against Baltimore, although the Yanks won that game 6-5. Both of his starts have played OVER.

Last year Pineda started twice against Tampa, giving up five ER and 14 hits through 12 2/3 innings; New York split those two games, and both games played OVER.

 

Yanks-Rays Game 3 Free Pick
New York has won four of its last six games, while Tampa has lost the mojo it found during that recent 5-2 road trip. We will place our MLB picks on the Yanks to complete the sweep today.

Free MLB Pick: New York -120 at Pinnacle

18 April
Yankees vs. Rays Game 2

By: Ron Patrick

 

Yanks-Rays Game 1 Recap
Alex Rodriguez banged a pair of homers and knocked in four runs, including the game-winner in the bottom of the eighth, leading New York to a 5-4 victory. The Yanks took an early 2-0 lead, fell down 4-2 when Tampa posted a four spot in the fourth inning, then rallied with a couple of runs in the sixth and one in the eighth for the W.

Tampa starter Nathan Karns allowed two runs on two hits through five innings, while New York starter Adam Warren gave up four runs and six hits through just four innings. And Yanks closer Andrew Miller, who's yet to allow a run through four appearances this year, threw the last 1 1/3 innings, whiffing three, for his third save of this season.

New York won Friday as a -105 pick on the dime line, and the game played OVER its total of 7.5 runs; and is now 8-2 on the OVERS this season.

 

Yanks-Rays Game 2 Betting Lines
As of early Saturday morning Tampa and Jake Odorizzi could be found on the MLB Odds at -102 at Pinnacle, while New York and Masahiro Tanaka were “getting” +100 at WagerWeb.

Also, most of the MLB betting market was listing the total at seven runs, although there were a few 7.5's out there.

 

Saturday's Starters
Odorizzi will be making his third start of this season; first, he threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings against Baltimore, allowing just two hits, walking none while whiffing seven in a 2-0 Tampa triumph; and Monday he held Toronto to one run and two hits through eight innings of a 2-1 Rays win.

So through 14 2/3 innings so far Odorizzi has allowed just four hits, walked three and struck out 10. Last season, his first as a full-time starter, Odorizzi went 13-for-31 on quality starts (by our tough standards); Tampa went 13-18 in those starts, with the totals leaning toward the OVERS by a 17-12 margin. Last year Odorizzi started four times against the Yankees, giving up 12 ER and 23 hits through 20 innings. Tampa split those four games, and three of those games played OVER the totals.

Tanaka will be making his third start of this season; back on Opening Day he gave up four ER and five hits in four innings of a 6-1 loss to Toronto, and last Sunday he gave up three ER in five innings of a 14-4 win over Boston. He's also walked five guys through nine innings this year. Last year, his first in the Majors, Tanaka went a solid 15-for-20 on quality starts; New York went 14-6 in those starts, with the totals splitting 10-10. Tanaka made his only career start vs. Tampa last May, allowing three runs and eight hits in seven innings of a 9-3 New York victory.

 

Injury Update
Tampa 3B Evan Longoria was questionable for Friday's game with a sore hip, but he DH'ed and went one-for-three with a walk.

On the other side of the scorebook New York OF Brett Gardner didn't start for the third straight game, dealing with a sore wrist, but he pinch-ran in the eighth inning, stole a base and scored the game-winning run on a Rodriguez base hit.

 

Yanks-Rays Game 2 Pick
Tanaka hasn't looked too good in his first two starts, suggesting to us that perhaps American League batters are becoming familiar with him. Meanwhile, Odorizzi has been great in his first two starts, suggesting to us that perhaps he's taking that next step, after a promising rookie season. We like the Rays today for our MLB Picks.

Free MLB Pick: Tampa Bay -102 at Pinnacle

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":753053, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,43,227,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

17 April
Friday's Series Opener

By: Ron Patrick

 

Yanks-Rays Game 1 Betting Odds
As of early Friday morning the best line we could find on Tampa with Nathan Karns was the -109 offered at GT Bets, while New York with Adam Warren could be bet at +102 at Pinnacle. And most books were listing the total on tonight's game at 7.5 runs.

Also, Bovada was listing the Rays at -130 MLB Odds to win this series, with the Yanks "getting" +100.

 

Yanks-Rays: Series Set-Up
New York just dropped two of three games in Baltimore this week, winning the series opener Monday 6-5, but losing Tuesday 4-3 and Wednesday 7-5. The Yanks led that series finale 3-2 heading into the bottom of the sixth inning but the bullpen gave up a five spot, putting New York in a hole it couldn't recover from.

Just before that series the Yanks lost two of three at home to Boston, and they opened this season by dropping two of three at home to Toronto. So New York is 0-3 in series so far this season.

Also, Yankees pitching has allowed at least five runs in five of their last seven games.

Tampa, meanwhile, just took three of four games from the Blue Jays in Toronto this week, winning Monday 2-1 and Tuesday 3-2, losing Wednesday 12-7 but winning Thursday 4-2.

Just before that the Rays took two of three games at Miami.

Tampa has been making some hay recently thanks in part to some good pitching, which has held five of its last eight opponents to two runs or less.

This is the first meeting this season between these American League East rivals. Last year Tampa took the season series from New York 11 games to eight, with the totals going 8-9-2.

 

Friday's Starters
Karns will be making his third start of this season; ten days ago he gave up six runs in less than six innings of a 6-5 loss to Baltimore, but Sunday he held Miami to two runs and two hits through seven innings of an 8-5 victory.

Last year, following a September call-up, Karns went one-for-two on quality starts for the Rays, who split those two starts.

In four seasons of minor league ball Karns went 33-21 with a 3.45 ERA, although at AAA Durham last year he went 9-9 with a 5.08 ERA.

This will be Karns' first-ever start vs. the Yankees.

Warren will be making his second start of this season; six days ago he held Boston to two runs – one earned - through 5 1/3 innings of a game the Yanks eventually lost 8-4.

Last year, pitching strictly in relief, Warren gave up fewer hits, 63, than innings pitched, 79, walked 24 and struck out 76.

This will be Warren's fifth career ML start, and his first-ever start against the Rays.

Profit with MLB Picks on Rangers +143 vs. Mariners in Game 1

Betting Trends
New York is 7-2 on the OVERS this season.

Tampa has played three UNDERS in its last four games.

 

Injury Update
Tampa 3B Evan Longoria took a pitch off the hip Thursday and left the game; his status for Friday night is uncertain.

Meanwhile, New York OF Brett Gardner has missed the last couple of games with a sore wrist, and is also questionable for tonight.

 

Yanks-Rays Game 1 Free Pick
We'll call the pitching match-up a wash, but we will place our MLB Picks tonight on New York, as they have a short edge with the sticks, especially if Longoria can't play. So while Tampa just came home following a winning road trip we'll fade the Rays tonight.

Free MLB Pick: New York +106 at Pinnacle