MLB Picks: Yankees vs. Angels Series Coverage

Willie Bee

Monday, May 5, 2014 12:24 PM UTC

Monday, May. 5, 2014 12:24 PM UTC

Another pitching rematch from a couple of weeks ago will end the MLB odds series out in Anaheim between the New York Yankees and Los Angeles Angels.


7th May
Yankees vs. Angels Game 3

By: Willie Bee


It's part of the beauty of baseball, how a player can be a goat one night and a winner the next, or go from a winner to a loser in 24 quick hours.

Such was the case Tuesday night in Anaheim where the New York Yankees leveled their series with the Los Angeles Angels in a 4-3 triumph.  Shawn Kelley, Game 1's losing pitcher, got the dubya in relief of Hiroki Kuroda while Ernesto Frieri, who closed out LA's win on Monday, took the loss after serving up Brian Roberts' home run in the ninth.

It sets up a rubber game for the series, and for the second contest in a row, the duel on the mound will be a repeat from the series in New York near the end of April.  The double-lefty matchup features Vidal Nuno for the Yanks and the Halos' Hector Santiago in the final contest on Wednesday's MLB odds board (10:05 PM ET).

The Angels are fetching a moneyline around -130 while an 8.5 run total is being offered to baseball bettors.


Bullpens Standing By For 2nd Nuno-Santiago Matchup
This will be Nuno's fourth consecutive start after beginning 2014 as part of the Yankees relief corps.  New York won the first two assignments, but didn't have nearly enough offense to overcome his last outing.  Nuno worked into the fifth vs. Tampa Bay last Friday, surrendering five hits and issuing three walks in the eventual 10-5 Rays victory.

At least the Yankees have won two of Nuno's starts despite his lofty ERA.  The Angels are winless in Santiago's six appearances, the most recent coming last Friday in the series opwner vs. the Rangers who scored all of their runs off the lefty in a 5-2 triumph.  Santiago hasn't gotten a lot of run support -- 13 runs total -- and he's been hurt a little by his defense as well.  Still, those 15 walks in 32 innings and five long balls have been a big part of his early struggles.

New York closed as small chalk when Nuno and Santiago met at Yankee Stadium on April 26, and the game did finish below the 9.5 run total with a couple of runs to spare.  But it was the effort of both bullpens that helped 'under' bettors cash their tickets after both hurlers failed to get through the fifth inning having allowed all of the runs to score in New York's 4-3 victory.


Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
Making his first appearance behind the plate at Angel Stadium since Sept. 2012, Jeff Nelson's first seven dish assignments this year have split the totals 3-3-1 (O/U/P).  His last two games calling balls and strikes in Anaheim failed to reach the total.

All signs point to another lovely evening at the Big A where the thermometer should be in the low-to-mid 60s at first pitch with only a few clouds overhead.  An 8-10 mph breeze from the SW (out to center) is also in the forecast.

I've been burned with 'over' picks the first two games in this series, but it's hard not to think Nuno and Santiago won't give up enough runs early to help us finally cash a ticket with a free pick that direction tonight.

My Pick: Yankees-Angels Over 8.5 (-110)

Season: 33-36 (-3.9)


6th May
Yankees vs. Angels Game 2

By: Willie Bee


There was an Ernesto Frieri sighting Monday night in Anaheim, and the righthander came through this time top preserve the Los Angeles Angels' victory in Game 1 of their set with the New York Yankees.

The Angels now look to climb two games above .500 for the first time in 2014 with a series-clinching win on Tuesday (10:05 PM ET).  Game 2 features Hiroki Kuroda on the hill for the Yankees opposite CJ Wilson, with Wilson and the Halos -140 favorites on the MLB odds board along with an 8 run total that is priced to the 'under.'

Frieri lost the LA closer's job a couple of weeks back, but Mike Scioscia called on him Monday to finish up the 4-1 win that Jered Weaver started.  The Angels gained a game on Oakland and Texas in the AL West with the triumph, while New York remained tied with Baltimore at the top of the AL East.


Mound Duel A Rematch From April 25
Kuroda has strung together four subpar outings, though the latest one officially met the quality start minimum.  The Yankees have lost his last three assignments, his ERA rising a little more than a run-&-a-quarter in that span.

The Angels' only win in New York a couple of weeks back came with Kuroda on the mound, Halo hitters collecting 10 hits in his 4.2 IP.  This will be Kuroda's first start in Anaheim since his days with the Dodgers, and he's 1-1 on this mound with a 2.02 ERA.

Wilson hopes May goes as well or better as April after going 4-2 with a 3.18 ERA in his six assignments.  The California native was outstanding the last time out, limiting the Indians to two hits and a run in eight innings of work, his second win at home since beginning the year getting knocked around at the Big A by the Mariners.

The southpaw was matched up against Kuroda in LA's 13-1 victory in the Bronx earlier this season.  Wilson went six frames and allowed New York's lone plate crossing, marking the Angels' fourth win in his five starts vs. the Yanks since he came to Anaheim in 2012.


Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
The decisive runs on Monday were the result of three bases-loaded walks by New York relievers in the eighth, and neither manager Joe Girardi nor his bullpen arms were too happy with Laz Diaz's strike zone leading to a couple of ejections.  Scott Barry is scheduled to work the plate in Game 2, and brings a 2-4 O/U record into the tilt.

It's going to be a little more humid Tuesday in Anaheim, and a little cooler with 15-20 mph winds out of the W-SW (out to right, center).  A similar breeze didn't help the balls travel last night, but I see some extra-base knocks coming in Game 2.  My free baseball pick will once again be on the high side of the scoreboard hurdle.

My Pick: Yankees-Angels Over 8 (+100)

Season: 33-34 (-1.8)


5th May
Yankees vs. Angels Game 1

By: Willie Bee


Neither the New York Yankees nor the Los Angeles Angels enjoyed the first weekend of May, each dropping two of three to division rivals. Now they hook up out west where the Yankees begin a road trip and the Angels finish a homestand.

Game 1 of the series gets underway Monday evening (10:05 PM ET) when Jered Weaver toes the rubber for the Halos opposite New York's David Phelps. It's the second and final regular season matchup between the clubs, and the Angels are favored in the -165 to -175 range with 8.5 for the total on SBR's live MLB odds.

Los Angeles lost two of three in the Bronx a couple of weekends back, both defeats coming in 1-run games after beginning that series with a 13-1 rout of the Yankees. The Angels have won the last three series played in Anaheim, taking two of three each set with totals running 4-8 O/U in the last 12 games played on this diamond


Yanks Hit Road Off Losing Homestand
New York (16-14, -0.3 units, 14-16 O/U) reaches Anaheim having dropped four of five to end a homestand that was interrupted by the weather. The Yankees won only three of eight in the Bronx, two of those coming against the Angels to begin the set with Masahiro Tanaka starting the only contest they took from the Mariners or Rays. Tanaka has been the only reliable member of Joe Girardi's rotation, the Japanese rookie owning a 2.53 ERA while the rest of the mix stands at 4.98.

Phelps hasn't pitched since April 23 when he came on in relief of Michael Pineda who was ejected at Fenway Park for having pine tar on his neck. The righthander out of Notre Dame was to have started against the Mariners last Wednesday in New York, but rain washed out the middle game of that series.

One of the two losses the Yankees suffered in Anaheim last June came in the middle game of the set which Phelps started. New York closed as a slight underdog in that matchup, and Phelps allowed LA's first four runs over six innings en route to an Angels 6-2 triumph. He made two extended relief appearances vs. the Angels in 2012 to account for his only other appearances against them, giving up just one run in those 7+ combined frames.


Halos Drop 2 Of 3 To Rangers Over Weekend
This 9-game homestand started well enough for Los Angeles (15-15, -2.4 units, 19-10-1 O/U/P) with a sweep of the Indians to begin last week. But then the Rangers came to town for the weekend, taking two of three from the Angels punctuated by Sunday's 14-3 romp in which LA pitchers walked nine.

Weaver allowed a season-high eight hits in 5.1 innings against Cleveland last Tuesday, but only surrendered two runs to pick up his second win of 2014. The Angels have lost each of his other four assignments, two of the setbacks coming at home to the Mariners and Mets.

The only game New York won in Anaheim last June was the one Weaver started for the Halos. It was one of two defeats he suffered at the hands of the Yankees a year ago after the Angels had won his previous four starts against them.  Including the 2009 ALCS when he started one game and relieved in two others, LA is 9-4 in his 13 starts though Weaver carries a 5.80 career ERA vs. the Yankees.

Cool and breezy is the forecast for the entire series. Monday's first pitch should find the thermometer in the mid-60s with a 10-12 mph WSW wind (out to right-center).

Things started off warmer in Anaheim this past weekend before the temps slowly came down, and as the thermometer dropped, scoring went up. I'm going to follow that trend with a free pick on the high side of the total in the series opener.

My Pick: Yankees-Angels Over 8.5 (+105)

Season: 32-33 (-1.8)

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