MLB Picks: Will Under Streak Continue For Red Sox & Mariners?

Willie Bee

Tuesday, August 2, 2016 2:13 PM UTC

Tuesday, Aug. 2, 2016 2:13 PM UTC

Boston continues a long road trip out west Tuesday in Seattle with a late-night clash against the Mariners. How have we decided to play the MLB odds in the battle?

Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners  
Pitching dominated the opener of a long set between the Boston Red Sox and Seattle Mariners, and the second game could be more of the same with an all-southpaw matchup.

Safeco Field is the site for this 4-game series, Tuesday's battle set for a 10:10 PM (ET) first pitch. David Price answers the bell for the Red Sox with Wade LeBlanc opposing him, and the MLB odds for the clash clearly favor Boston on a -170 moneyline at 5Dimes. The total started at 8 but has since dropped to 7½ with a higher tax on the 'over' at most sports books.

Monday saw the two hook up in a scoreless duel between Eduardo Rodriguez and James Paxton for the first 6½ innings before doubles by Robinson Cano and Dae Ho Lee gave the Mariners a 1-0 edge. Boston fought back, however, on the strength of solo homers by Aaron Hill and Mookie Betts in the eighth and ninth innings for the 2-1 victory.

The win was Boston's third in four tries against the Mariners this year and continued a corresponding trend of 'under' winners between the teams. All four of the games in Seattle a year ago stayed below the totals, the clubs splitting those finals.


Price Set For Just 2nd Career Start In Seattle
Price is making his second start on this West Coast  swing, and the Red Sox hope it goes as well as his first last Thursday in Anaheim. Only this time, they'd like to not waste such a fine effort by their big money acquisition last winter as Price tossed eight shutout innings, leaving with a 1-0 lead before the bullpen and defense blew it in a 2-1 loss.

It was also a 2-1 final when Price faced the M's back in June, but in Boston's favor as the former Vanderbilt star went right and surrendered a Franklin Gutierrez for Seattle's only run. Tuesday will be just the second time Price has pitched at Safeco, the other a complete game gem in 2014 shortly after he was dealt from Tampa Bay to Detroit.

LeBlanc is taking the mound for the first time in about 10 days, his last appearance coming at Toronto out of the bullpen where he earned a 3-inning save in a 14-5 blowout Mariners win. Three of his four assignments this season have been logged in the quality start column, all three of those coming in Seattle.

Tuesday will be just the second time LeBlanc has gone up against the Red Sox in his career and first since his days with the Padres in 2011. Hill and Hanley Ramirez have the most experience facing LeBlanc, that pair a combined 3-for-18 (.167), Hill taking him deep once.


Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
The second matchup of this long 4-game set will find crew chief Dana DeMuth calling balls and strikes. DeMuth doesn't lean strongly one way or the other on totals, checking into Tuesday's tilt with a 9-7-1 O/U/P record against the baseball odds, that record 6-5 O/U when the hurdle is 8 runs or higher. He hasn't been friendly to home underdogs on +150 or larger moneylines and didn't make any friends during his last plate assignment in Seattle, a 7-5 Mariners loss that had locals moaning about his strike zone.

They played last night's game with the roof open at Safeco when the skies were clear and temps stayed in the low-to-mid 70s. With rain in the afternoon forecast and lingering into the early evening, this evening's game might very well be played indoors. Neither team has fared well against southpaws, and with the 'under' trend we have going, my free MLB pick is going right back to that well tonight.


My Pick: Red Sox-Mariners Under 7½ +100
Best Line offered: at Heritage
Season: 39-32 (+9.55)

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