MLB Picks: White Sox vs. Orioles 4 Game Coverage

Darin Zank

Thursday, September 5, 2013 12:08 PM GMT

So, Baltimore will shoot for a four-game sweep, while Chicago will try to stop a nine-game losing streak, when the teams meet for the final time this season Sunday afternoon (1:35 pm ET)

 

08 Sep
Game Four

By: Ron Patrick

 

Baltimore took Saturday's game 4-3, getting a two-run single from Matt Wieters in the bottom of the tenth to overcome a 3-2 deficit.

The O's won as -170 favorites on Saturday's betting line, but to our disappointment couldn't cover on the run line.

With the victory the Orioles pulled to within one game of Tampa in the battle for the second American League wild-card spot..

Sunday's Betting Line

As of early Sunday morning most shops were listing Baltimore and Bud Norris at around -200 over Chicago and Andre Rienzo , with a total of nine. The O's could also be gotten at around -105 on the run line.

Sunday's Pitching Match-Up

Norris (10-10, 4.01) is 14-for-28 on quality starts this season, 3-for-7 since joining the Orioles. Last time out he held Cleveland to one run through seven innings, and just before that he held Boston to one run through 5 1/3 innings, although he also walked four.

But those two starts came after Norris got clipped for 11 runs in 10 1/3 innings against the Rockies and A's.

On the season Norris has allowed 177 hits in 166 innings, walked 62 and struck out 133.

Offensively-hapless Houston went 8-13 in Norris' starts this year, while Baltimore, which leads the Majors in homers, has won six of his seven starts.

Norris started once earlier this year against the White Sox for the Astros, giving up four runs and eight hits in six innings of a 4-2 Houston defeat back in June.

Righty rookie Rienzo (1-1, 5.03) will be making the eighth ML start of his career. So far he's 4-for-7 on quality starts, although 0 for his last two. Most recently he got nicked for five runs in three innings vs. Boston, walking four, and just before that he gave up five ER and nine hits in six innings against those offensively-challenged Astros.

For this season, which for Rienzo started with his ML debut July 30, he's allowed 40 hits, including seven homers, in 39 innings, walked 21 and struck out 28.

Houston is 2-5 in Rienzo's starts.

This will be Rienzo's first-ever start vs. Baltimore.

[gameodds]3/242689/?r-1=19-43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Our Take on Sunday's Game

Baltimore seems an obvious choice here; Norris gets the advantage in the pitching match-up, Chicago's bats are cold and the O's have all the motivation they need, sitting just a game out of a playoff spot. But the price is a bit high, so instead we'll go with another run-line play on Baltimore for our free MLB pick for Sunday.

Pick: Take the Orioles on the run line at the +105 offered at SBR Sportsbook

 

07 Sep
Game Three

By: Ron Patrick

 

Baltimore took Game 2 of this series Friday night 4-0 behind Scott Feldman's first career shut-out, a five-hitter in which he threw 106 pitches.

The O's won as -185 favorites on Friday's MLB betting line, and to our delight they also covered on the run line.

The Orioles hit three solo homers in Thursday's game, and bopped three more dingers in Friday's victory. They lead the Majors with 191 round-trippers.

On the other end of the spectrum Chicago has now lost eight games in a row on this road trip, scoring a total of 22 runs in the process.

Baltimore will try to keep the Sox on the skids when the teams meet for Game 3 of this series Saturday afternoon (1:05 pm ET).

Saturday's Betting Odds

As of early Saturday AM, most baseball books were listing the Orioles and Wei-Yin Chen at around -180 over Chicago and Hector Santiago, with a total of 8.5.

Saturday's Pitching Match-Up

Chen (7-7, 3.87) started well this season, but has struggled as of late. He's 9-for-18 on quality starts this year, but only one for his last four. Last time out he gave up three runs in four innings, walking five, against the Yankees, and over his last four starts he's allowed 17 ER in 21 innings.

For the season Chen has given up 103 hits in 109 innings, walked 34 and struck out 73.

This will be Chen's first start vs. the White Sox this year; last year, in two starts vs. the Pale Hose, Chen held them to three ER in 11 1/3 innings; the O's won both those games.

Santiago (4-8, 3.43) is 10-for-20 on quality starts this year, and two for his last three. Last time out he gave up four runs in less than four innings vs. Boston, walking five. But in his three starts previous to that he had held the Yankees, Tigers and Twins to four ER through 17 1/3 innings.

On the season Santiago has allowed 118 hits in 134 innings, walked 65, which is too many, and struck out 129.

In his one start this year vs. Baltimore Santiago gave up just two runs and five hits through seven innings, whiffing nine, in a 4-2 Chicago loss back in July.

The OVER/UNDERS are a combined 12-25 in Chen and Santiago's starts this season.

[gameodds]3/242616/?r-1=19-43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Our Take on Saturday's Game

Chen has struggled lately, but we had some good luck with him earlier this season, and actually have some faith in him. Also, Chicago can't hit its way out of a paper bag at the moment. So we like Baltimore today. But we also to take chances, so we'll go with the O's on the run line for our free MLB pick for Saturday.

Pick: Take Baltimore giving the run and a half at the +118 offered at MatchBook. 

 

06 Sep
Game Two

By: Ron Patrick

 

Baltimore took the opener of this series Thursday night 3-1. The O's hit three solo homers off Chicago starter Jose Quintana and got seven solid innings from Miguel Gonzalez against the punchless Sox lineup. 

The Orioles won as -160 favorites on Thursday's MLB betting line, and the game played UNDER its total of 8.5. 

With the victory Baltimore picked up a game in the AL wild-card race, and now trails Tampa by three games in the battle for the second WC spot. 

Chicago has now scored a total of 22 runs in losing the first seven games of its current road trip. 

The OVER/UNDERS are now 0-4 in White Sox/Orioles games this season. 

Game 2 of this series will be played Friday night (7:05 pm ET). 

Friday's Betting Line 

As of Friday AM, most sportsbooks were chalking Baltimore and Scott Feldman at around -175 over Chicago and John Danks, with a total of 8.5. The O's could also be gotten at around +120 on the run line. 

Friday's Pitching Match-Up 

Feldman (11-10, 3.75) is 13-for-25 on quality starts this year, and while he's gone a bit short lately, he's also strung together four starts in a row of allowing just one or two runs. Last time out he held the Yankees to one run through seven innings, and over his last four starts he's given up just five ER through 24 innings. 

On the season Feldman has allowed 135 hits in 151 innings, walked 44 and struck out 112.

The Cubs, who are currently 21 games under .500, went 8-7 in Feldman's starts for them this year, while Baltimore is 5-5 in games he's started for them. 

In two previous starts this year against the White Sox, one for the Cubs and one for the O's, Feldman held them to four ER and 12 hits in 12 innings; his teams won both those games.

Lefty Danks (4-11, 4.35) is just 8-for-19 on quality starts this season, but two for his last three. Last time out he gave up five ER in five innings vs. Boston, but in his two starts previous to that he held the Royals and Rangers to two runs through 14 innings. 

On the year Danks has allowed 128 hits, including 23 dingers, in 122 innings, walked 23 and struck out 82. 

He's also just 1-7 with a 4.77 ERA on the road this season. 

Chicago is 6-13 in Danks' starts this year

But in his one outing this season against Baltimore Danks was good, allowing just two runs through seven innings of a 5-2 Sox victory back in early July. 

[gameodds]3/242564/?r-1=43-19-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Our Take on Friday's Game

Chicago's best chance to win a game in this series might have been Thursday night with Quintana. From here on out the Sox might be in trouble. Feldman has been good in two starts against the ChiSox this year, and Danks can't be trusted. So we like Baltimore for tonight. But we also like to gamble, so we'll go with a run-line play on the Orioles for our free MLB pick for Friday. 

Pick: Take Baltimore minus the run and a half at the  +128 offered at MatchBook.

 

05 Sep
Series Opener

By: Ron Patrick

 


The Baltimore Orioles are still trying to chase down a playoff berth, but recently they've been losing ground and now they're running out of time. 

Thursday's Betting Line 

As of Thursday AM most  sportsbooks were listing Baltimore and Miguel Gonzalez at around -160 over Chicago and Jose Quintana, with a total of 8.5. 

Also, The Greek is chalking the Orioles at -225 to win this series, based on the first three games, with the White Sox getting +185. 

Sox-Orioles Series Set-Up 

Baltimore just dropped two of three games in Cleveland, losing Wednesday's series rubber match 6-4,  to finish up a 3-6 road trip.

At 73-65 the Orioles are now 9.5 games behind first-place Boston in the AL East, and four games back of Tampa in the battle for the second American League wild-card spot. 

Chicago, meanwhile, just got swept three games by the Yankees in New York, falling Wednesday 6-5, and is now 0-6 on its current road trip. 

So, the Sox at 56-82, are just playing out the string, as they say, on this season. 

In the only other meeting this season between these two teams Chicago took two of three games from Baltimore at the Cell back in July. All three of those games played UNDER on the MLB odds totals, as the teams combined to score just 18 runs. 

Thursday's Pitching Match-Up 

Gonzalez (8-7, 4.11) is 10-for-23 on quality starts this year, but just one for his last six. Last time out he got nicked for seven runs in four-plus innings against the Yankees, and over his last six starts he's allowed 24 ER in 31 innings. 

On the season, which includes a couple recent appearances in relief, Gonzalez has allowed 137 hits, including 20 homers, in 140 innings, walked 46 and struck out 99. 

Baltimore is 12-11 in Gonzalez' starts this season. 

This will be Gonzalez' first-ever start against the White Sox. 

Lefty Quintana (7-5, 3.69) is 12-for-28 on quality starts, and unofficially three for his last three. Last time out he threw just one inning against the Yankees before the rains came, putting a quick end to his night. But just before that he gave up three runs in 7 2/3 innings against Houston, and over his last three full starts he's allowed eight ER in 21 1/3 innings.

On the season Quintana has given up 157 hits in 166 innings, walked 48 and struck out 139.

Chicago is 13-15 in Quintana's starts this year.

In his one start this season against Baltimore Quintana was super, throwing seven innings of two-hit, shut-out ball, walking one and whiffing 11 in a 3-2 Sox victory back on July 4.

In the bullpen match-up for this series the Orioles rank 17th with a 3.67 ERA and are 47-for-69 on save opportunities, while Chicago ranks 22nd with a 3.90 ERA and is 36-for-53 on save opps. 

Sox-O's With the Sticks

Chicago ranks 26th in team OBP at .305, 21st in homers with 125 and 28th in scoring at 3.8 runs per game.

Baltimore ranks 18th in OBP at .315, first in homers with 185 and fourth in scoring at 4.7 RPG.

Sox-O's Betting Trends

Baltimore is 38-29 at home this season. 

Chicago is 24-48 on the road. 

The OVER/UNDERS are 31-31 in games played at Camden Yards this year. 

The Orioles are eight games over .500 overall this season, but just 20-23 vs. lefties. 

The Sox are 44-60 vs. righties.

[gameodds]3/242511/?r-1=19-43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Our Take on Thursday's Game 

Baltimore has more to play for, and owns edges with the bats and in the bullpens. But we give Quintana the edge in the pitching match-up, and the Orioles are a sub-.500 team against lefties. So, we'll take a chance and go with the underdog Sox for our free pick for Thursday. 

Pick: Take the White Sox at the +140 offered at 365