MLB Picks: Wednesday Baseball Best Bets

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, September 18, 2013 12:37 PM GMT

We made a profit yesterday and it’s on to “Hump Day” to attempt to bring some of you “over the hump” and on to the plus side with our MLB picks.

Recap

As I’ve stated before, 1-1 isn’t always a failure when you’re pick two dogs and although the Yankees were a tremendous disappointment, Texas came through and made it a plus day for me as they broke their 7 game losing streak. Let’s look forward to today.

New York Yankees (79-72) at Toronto Blue Jays (69-81)

Backs Against the Wall

I want to go right back to Toronto, Canada as the Yankees offense really let a winnable game get away in a 2-0 defeat to the Blue Jays and have really put themselves in a “must win” situation. The Yankees are 3.5 games behind the Rays and the Rangers for the final wild card spot and will pick up a ½ game tonight as one of those teams will lose in their head-head series. It’s up to underachieving Phil Hughes (4-13, 5.07) to save the Yankees bacon as he faces J.A. Happ (4-6, 5.15) of the Jays.

Hughes’ Chance

Phil Hughes was once clustered with Ian Kennedy as the future of the Yankees pitching-wise. Kennedy has moved onto the west coast and has managed to have a 20- win season for Arizona and Hughes has had a few bright moments, but his job and legacy are in jeopardy as he’s having the worst season of his career.

A win here would at least leave a decent taste in the mouths of the Yankees front office and more importantly, the fans. This is a very winnable game, as Hughes and the Yanks face a weak pitcher in J.A. Happ. There are no excuses in this spot.

Hughes has been pitching out of the bullpen, so he should be fresh and his velocity should be high. This isn’t the Red Sox that he’s facing.

No Excuses

With Edwin Encarnacion and Jose Bautista both out for the rest of this season, the Jays will rely on players like Jose Reyes, Rajai Davis, and Adam Lind; the Yankees are in desperation mode and should eat this team alive.

MLB Pick- New York +104 on Bet 365's MLB odds board.

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Seattle Mariners (66-85) at Detroit Tigers (88-63)

Iwakuma vs. Verlander

Lots of bettors and fantasy leaguers have been riding the “JV” bandwagon and it’s been a bumpy ride. Justin Verlander (13-11, 3.66) has had a very disappointing season as he was once thought of as the best pitcher in baseball , but is having a lackluster season in 2013.

Verlander faces a pitcher in Hisashi Iwakuma (12-6, 2.87) who has had a better season than him. The only difference is that Verlander is supported by one of the best offenses in baseball while Iwakuma has to be a one man show and scratch out wins with the small amount of offense that’s provided for him.

Finally…

Nobody can blame Miguel Cabrera for the tremendous slump that he’s been in. He’s had a groin and abdominal injury to deal with and even the mighty Cabrera has shown that he’s human by hitting .243 in the month of September with very low power numbers.

In yesterday’s 6-2 victory over Seattle, Cabrera finally hit his 44th home run of the season and 1st homer of the month. This is a great sign for Detroit as Cabrera is 7 for his last 19 and on a 6 game hitting streak. A matchup against Iwakuma will be a test for the heavy hitting right hander, but nevertheless, Miggy’s back and Detroit will be a tough team to knock off in the post-season.

Look for Verlander to break out of his funk as players play up to the competition. This game should be an easy UNDER for our MLB picks, despite the strength of Detroit’s offense.

I want to buy a ½ run and make the total an even 8 runs just to be safe.

MLB Pick- Detroit/Seattle UNDER 8 -125 (Buying a ½ run) at Bet 365 

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Good luck, everyone!

Don't forget to check out today's Betting Odds Report for MLB Baseball!~